On May 4, 2015, at 4:39 PM, Cor van de Water via EV <[email protected]> wrote:

> After 10 years of daily full-cycling, I am presuming that the value of the 
> pack
> and the 10-year old electronics is approaching zero

I don't think that's a valid assumption in this case. Tesla is including a 
ten-year warranty, meaning they're going to have to typically be nearly as good 
after 9 years and 364 days as they are new (presumably within some sort of 
specified degradation, such as 80% capacity). And Tesla's vehicular batteries 
are significantly outperforming expectations.

The resale value of these units might not be anywhere near $10,000, but they'll 
still be doing the job you bought them to do and will likely continue to keep 
doing that job for at least as long as a typical mortgage.

And if, in ten years, you can buy a comparable battery for, say, a mere $1,000? 
Well, then, we're _all_ that much wealthier.

That's the great thing about alternative energy investments: barring complete 
loss, you basically can't lose. With my solar panels, I effectively pre-bought 
several years worth of electricity at then-market rates. Everything after that 
is free electricity. If rates go up, I win even bigger because I'm not spending 
that money. Rates aren't going to go down, but, even if they do, that means 
that other goods and services made using that electricity will be cheaper. My 
own payoff time may be theoretically stretched out...but that's already money 
under the bridge and I was happy to pay what I felt was a fair price at the 
moment.

b&
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