They say all the time the invasion isn't going to plan, Russia is surprised by the resistence etc etc, but how do they know that?
Since the Russians piled up all those arms on the other side of the border which now easily have been moved in to the war scene wouldn't that indicate they expected they would come to use? I think they know the Ukrainians inside out and they don't do this unless they are 98% certain to win. I looks to me like the strategy is to tie up the regular forces in the East where they were already half busy keeping track of the separatists, now the Russians encircle further from the South to cut them off completely while hitting the big cities to force them to surrender, and the convoy for Kiev - offering a HUGE target but there are no Ukrainian forces there to hit it! - with artillery and tanks will finalize that strategy with a huge siege ... If this was the plan from day one - and that sounds reasonable since they did have a plan, they always do - then to me it looks like it is going very much in accordance with it! -- underground experts united https://dataswamp.org/~incal
