> > Chutten is not as categoric as you are: > > It is also possible that we’ve seen some ex-Chrome users fleeing > Google’s drop of support from earlier this year. > This is possible, but I'd still expect to see the biggest impact when Chrome started including the scary persistent notification that the user will no longer get updates.
> Deseasonalized numbers for just WinXP users are hard to come by, so > this is fairly speculative. One thing that’s for certain is that the > diminishing Windows XP userbase trend I had previously observed (and > was counting on seeing continue) is no longer in evidence. Chutten, if you have some other stats on this, I'd love to take a look. The longitudinal data still shows the following trend: *Changes to **Daily Active User proportion of WinXP to total Windows population from previous month:* Week of Jan. 20th, 2016: -4.3% Week of Feb. 20th, 2016: -2.5% Week of Mar. 20th, 2016: -2.6% Week of Apr. 20th, 2016: -3.2% Week of May 20th, 2016: -1.3% Week of June 20th, 2016: -3.3% Week of July 20th, 2016: -2.3% Week of Aug. 20th, 2016: -4.9% Week of Sept. 20th, 2016: -1.1% Week of Oct. 20th, 2016: -1.2% Sure, there were larger drops in the summer that seemed to have eased off in Sept./Oct. but it's too early to tell if that's just some weirdness from seasonality. Peter On Tue, Nov 1, 2016 at 9:56 PM, Mike Hommey <m...@glandium.org> wrote: > On Wed, Nov 02, 2016 at 09:28:40AM +0800, Peter Dolanjski wrote: > > On 10/31/2016 3:54 PM, juar...@gmail.com wrote: > > > > > > > > Discontinuing support for 10% of users sounds like shrinking 10% of > > > customers, lay off 10% of employees, reduce 10% of funds for > > > investments. > > > > > > I can tell you that the evidence we have does not support the notion > > that end of life (or the approach we are proposing) will actually > > result in the attrition of those users. We examined the impact of > > Chrome's end of life on Windows XP users. The majority of users > > planned to stick with Chrome even without security updates. We also > > saw almost zero evidence of Chrome's end of life causing an uptick in > > Firefox usage or downloads among XP users. > > Chutten is not as categoric as you are: > > It is also possible that we’ve seen some ex-Chrome users fleeing > Google’s drop of support from earlier this year. > > Deseasonalized numbers for just WinXP users are hard to come by, so > this is fairly speculative. One thing that’s for certain is that the > diminishing Windows XP userbase trend I had previously observed (and > was counting on seeing continue) is no longer in evidence. > > https://chuttenblog.wordpress.com/2016/10/28/firefox- > windows-xp-exit-plan/ > > Mike > _______________________________________________ dev-platform mailing list dev-platform@lists.mozilla.org https://lists.mozilla.org/listinfo/dev-platform
