No professional gambler, if he had the numbers laid out for him, would
ever choose unoptimal play, not when he's playing for the long
term. The computer, in the same way, would have to be modeled to
maximize expected value. Nothing else makes sense.
In a single game with high stakes, yes mindset (risk aversion, your
finances, etc) might come into it. But that is exactly why I specified
the long term scenario.
-Jeff
A professional gambler has a 2 step task.
1. Find a weaker player (aka "fish")
2. capture the fish('s bankroll)
Luckily for the gambler, there is usually an adequate supply of fish.
But capturing the fish is a bigger problem.
Fish are shy and need to fed worms to make them feel comfortable.
So step 2 is really a 3 step process:
2a. let the fish win at the relatively small starting stakes.
2b. Act angry and astounded, offer a raise of the stakes. Now start winning.
2c. The angry and astounded fish will offer another raise of the stakes if
step 2b was artful enough. Now capture the fish.
So the whole idea of "optimizing" the score it totally besides the point.
Stefan
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