On Tue, 2007-12-11 at 21:17 -0500, Don Dailey wrote:
> But what does this have to do with anything?   What we are "arguing"
> about is whether it's good to try to estimate probabilities.   That's
> what you have been critical of.   Adding ladder code will improve any
> evaluation function if done correctly but that's not relevant if you
> believe estimating probability is foolish.
> 
> To the contrary, I believe it is brilliant - in my opinion it is a key
> factor in the success of these programs and I would call it a key
> breakthrough.     

Sorry, it just sounded like you lauded the failures of MC as virtues.
I'm not opposed to random playouts as an evaluator. Just undue hope and
reliance on it. I think that to make a breakthrough in go AI, we need
diversity. Both within a program (use what works when it works,
including dropping any randomness at all when pure knowledge or full
search would yield results), and between bots. What we *don't* need is
people giving up on an approach without even trying it, because others
have failed at something similar before.

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