John Williams wrote:
> 
> Look, this is getting silly. If you understand the market so well, 
> and can consistently outguess millions of people risking their own 
> money, then why not prove it? 
>
Maybe because His Superior Wisdom dictates that it's impossible
to net-gain money from the market :-P

> Put your money where your mouth is. 
> Start risking some of your own money, it should be easy for you to 
> make a lot of money. Then, if you think there isn't enough lending 
> going on, you can lend! Imagine, actually a direct solution with 
> your own money rather than taking other people's money and giving it 
> to people who have made bad decisions.
> 
Ok, let's make a simulation.

Imagine that you, me, and a few other stupid guys believe that
some stock prices will go up tomorrow by 10%. What should we do?
Now suppose that some smart guy _knows_ that there's a 50% chance
that tomorrow's price will raise by 100% and there's a 50% chance
that tomorrow's price will get back to 0%, and that whenever he
puts money in that, the g*vernment steals 1% from him.

Would s/he be wise to put his/her money into this lottery just
to prove that we are fools?

Alberto Monteiro

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