On 20 Mar 2006 at 16:33, Dan Minette wrote: > Tom Friedman had two very good columns on Iraq in the last couple of weeks. > Unfortunately, he's now premium content at the NY Times, so I can't quote > him exactly. In one of his columns he looks at three possible outcomes in > Iraq.
Um. Fourth, the Kurds effectively become semi-independent (because the central government was set up so as to allow tribal trouble at the drop of a hat, but let's no go there) and Turkey gets annoyed. Turkey then gives up on EU membership (since several politicians have made it clear to them they won't get it anyway), and goes full out on squashing Kurds. This then draws other regional powers into the conflict and you end up with a messy war in the entire region again. Entirely possible. Probable? Maybe not, but definitely something to plan for avoiding. AndrewC Dawn Falcon _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
