Dan wrote:

There was a pattern of interpreting the evidence in a manner that provided the greatest and most immediate risk. It was very consistent with the "wishful thinking" engineering I've encountered from time to time. At the time, there was enough information to see that Bush overstated his case, as I suggested at the time. But, this statement is quite different....any
reasonable person at the time would know there were no WMD.

They had an agenda, Dan. Before 911. Read the PNAC white paper. Keep in mind that several members of PNAC went on to become high ranking members of the Bush administration. Like Vice President and Defense Secretary. So they have motive and 911 gave them the opportunity. Testimony from former administration officials like Clarke confirmed how anxious they were to go after Iraq. The whole WMD thing was never anything but a way to get congress and the people behind the invasion.

That conclusion was no more likely, given the information available at the time, than Hussein being a couple of years away from a bomb. Remember, we later found out that Quadaffy (sp) was a couple of years away from having a bomb.

As for the yellowcake, the most likely source of the British information
was French intelligence.  Now it is possible that the French government
gamed the US, but I think they actually believed the bad data was good.

Let me give a parallel. By showing that Al Gore exaggerates the risks and the evidence of global warming, you can show that global warming just
doesn't exist.


Let me give a parallel. A scientist proposes a series of experiments in order to prove a hypothesis. Well prior to the experiment several key members of his team express an agenda with regards to the hypothesis. Tests are run, but only the results that favor the agenda are recorded, those that don't favor the agenda are often the results with fewer anomalies, but they are ignored just the same. How valid are the results?

The administration used evidence such as the aluminum tubes even though they knew, _knew_, that the tubes were not suitable for the centrifuges. They used the yellow cake story in the state of the union speech even though they _knew_ that there own source had thoroughly debunked the story. They claimed with certainty that there were connections between Al Qaida and Hussain even though their intelligence agencies were _certain_ that there was no connection. They were aware that many of their sources had their own agendas, but they continued to use the tainted evidence provided by them and ignore more reliable sources. They were able to direct the actions of the UN inspection team, but time after time that inspection team cam up empty.

They threw the results of the experiment, and the more we learn, the more obvious it becomes.

Sorry Dan, but you need to take off the rose colored glasses.

--
Doug
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