On Sep 18, 2005, at 5:23 PM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

At 07:09 PM Sunday 9/18/2005, Warren Ockrassa wrote:

What many might not grasp is how very much time is actually required. It "only" took 500 MY for life to go from trilobites to us, but 500 MY is a tremendous amount of time that really can't easily be understood in human terms. Given time enough, evolution from one species to another can happen and has in truth been recorded in fossil records for large organisms — however inconceivable it might seem to some.

"Only" is applicable in the sense that from the Cambrian "explosion" to the present is <15% of the total age of the Earth, and trilobites are even more recent.

Yeah — deep time. It's really pretty humbling to contemplate the range of time that's been necessary to produce the planet and the life that exists on it. We're really only beginning to understand a lot of the processes involved and how they interact with one another.

For instance on another list there's been sporadic discussion of ways in which hurricanes might be diffused before landfall, or even before they develop — which sounds good from an inundated-city perspective, but it's easy to overlook the way hurricanes appear to factor in — heavily — with marine life. That is, by trying to stop hurricanes, we could end up wreaking tremendous havoc on the ocean's ecosystem, and if we do that, if we do enough damage to the seas, we've had it.

Or if you look at the Colorado River and the way it's been dammed, you see that all these engineering projects which looked so good in the last century have had some very negative effects on life and the ecosystem of the deserts. The Colorado used to flow all the way into the Baja, and now it trickles to a dry wash miles away from the sea. Also, the periodic flooding the Colorado used to have recharged inland aquifers, allowing riparian areas to flourish in the Mojave and Sonora desert regions. But those riparian areas are now drying up, because they're not getting the water they need to sustain themselves.

I used to think that if you visited Earth 1000 years from now you'd find no immediate trace of human habitation (think a global survey from orbit), either because we'd have wiped ourselves out or we would have figured out how to exist in a more harmonious but still technologically advanced way with the biosphere. I'm thinking now that's not so likely. After all we have goats to thank for lots of the Sahara — goats led in by humans. Even if our cities are all gone and rotted into the substrate, we'll have left footprints, some of them probably quite large.

But all of that is absolutely nothing contrasted to deep time. And sometimes it can be instructive to remember that our species will eventually cease to exist. Either we'll all kill ourselves or — no matter what — gene drift and evolution will continue and we'll eventually have a creature that cannot interbreed with our current stock. When that might happen is hard to guess, but it's certain that it will. Homo sapiens as we know it today is doomed, like 90%+ of all other terrestrial species, to extinction.


--
Warren Ockrassa, Publisher/Editor, nightwares Books
http://books.nightwares.com/
Current work in progress "The Seven-Year Mirror"
<http://books.nightwares.com/ockrassa/Flat_Out.pdf>
<http://books.nightwares.com/ockrassa/Storms_on_a_Flat_Placid_Sea.pdf>

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