On Fri, May 14, 2004 at 07:05:07PM -0700, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

> I don't think that the entitlement problem is in any sense
> catastrophic - given recent increases in productivity, it may, in
> fact, be entirely manageable.

Do you have numbers to back that up? Or is that just wishful thinking?

The present value of promised entitlements (SS, Medicare primarily)
amounts to $45 trillion. That is 4 times GDP, or about $154,000 per
American alive today.

>  But it still _has to be managed_.

Either taxes need to be raised by about 65%, or the boomers will be
eating dog-food. Who will raise taxes by that much? Productivity ain't
gonna do it.



-- 
Erik Reuter   http://www.erikreuter.net/
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