On 11 Mar 2004, at 9:29 pm, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
--- Jan Coffey <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:Sorry, but your numbers I believe are wrong. It is 1 in 6 jobs that are going to India, that's not 1 in 6 tech jobs, it's 1 in 6 jobs.
Jan, think about what you're saying here. There are ~100 million jobs in the United States. 1 in 6 would mean more than _15 million_ jobs had left the United States. That would create unemployment rates equivalent to those suffered in the Great Depression. The current unemployment rate is under 6%. I'm not going to ask for for a source on 1 in 6, I'm just asking you to do a sanity check. Think about it.
As I posted earlier in this thread:
<http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2004/03/07/ MNGRT5G2C11.DTL>
"Jobs are more likely to be shipped overseas from Silicon Valley than any other region in the nation, placing the Bay Area's economic engine directly in the path of the global freight train known as offshoring.
Specifically, 1 in 6 jobs in Silicon Valley are at risk of being sent abroad, compared with only 1 in 10 positions nationwide, according to researchers at UC Berkeley. The economists estimate that 1 in 7 San Francisco jobs could be exported."
Of course 'could be' isn't the same as 'will be' :)
-- William T Goodall Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED] Web : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/
"It is our belief, however, that serious professional users will run out of things they can do with UNIX." - Ken Olsen, President of DEC, 1984.
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