On 17 Mar 2003 at 19:35, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

> OK list-members.
> While I'm using this to evade finishing up work (it's
> only 10:30 - why would I be in a hurry to go home?)
> here's my current (among many) nightmare scenario.
> 
> What happens when Saddam launches missiles filled with
> VX at Israel?  Israel is unlikely to fail to defend
> itself this time, as it did in 1991, under any
> circumstancse.  Israel is likely to have a
> particularly strong reaction to poison gas.  I would
> rate the chances that they would not retaliate against
> such a launch in some way to approach zero.  When they
> do so, the Arab world is likely to go nuts.  To put it
> mildly.  So, what do people on the list think Israel
> should do?  And what should the US do to try and
> contain it?  

Well - I'm not sure of the reaction, but Israel does (unlike in the 
Gulf war) have a missile defence system up which should block some of 
the incomming missiles.

They have their own, fairly long ranged "arrow" missiles and the 
Americans have stationed several batteries of the  (much upgraded) 
"patriot" missiles in Israel.

Israel also has a solid anti-gas doctrine, with (at times like this) 
a sealed room set up in each house, and there's also a pre-prepared 
bunker under every public and large building.

Andy
Dawn Falcon

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