Sent from my iPhone On Sep 9, 2009, at 11:44 AM, Kerim Aydin <ke...@u.washington.edu> wrote:
- If you take a Bayesian standpoint (with the process probabilities as your priors) you come to the conclusion that 1/Nth of each possible types of N cards were destroyed. Since this is IMPOSSIBLE (a higher-powered rule prevents destroying fractions of cards) the destruction simply didn't function.
I don't follow. A Bayesian standpoint makes it clear that the outcome, though fixed, can be referred to in terms of probability because it is unknown, but it certainly doesn't require otherwise impossible events to occur.