I see an ai bust for 90+% of ventures. Not far off now. Probably, as soon as language is sorted.
On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 07:47 Alan Grimes via AGI <agi@agi.topicbox.com> wrote: > Seriously... > > Lets look at the mechanics of this... According to the AI calendar, we > are late spring, early summer. During the AI summer the rate of > breakthroughs slows a bit but there are still many gains to be had in > terms of consolidation and productization. THIS IS NOT A PROBLEM. We > have many many thousands of papers to sift through and file before we > can even start talking about an AI fall much less winter. This will take > 2-3 years, at any point in time, a new breakthrough could emerge and the > calendar gets reset to early spring... > > An AI fall would be characterized by widespread bankrupcies of the AI > startups accompanied by a rapidly diminishing returns on investment > (counting technical progress as equivalent to financial return.) > > Furthermore, we have crossed the AI waifu threashold, ie the point where > an AI waifu becomes technically feasible. This fact alone means that > there will never be another AI winter (with little activity or > investment in AI). So if anyone starts talking about an AI bust, tell > them to put a sock in it. They're wrong, and even if they aren't wrong > they're jumping the gun by years. =| > > -- > You can't out-crazy a Democrat. > #EggCrisis #BlackWinter > White is the new Kulak. > Powers are not rights. > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T59fe5c237460bf34-Ma383f74a3244e1ae18ea4f56 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
