Look at what happened with SpaceX vs The Long March launch system for what the US _could_ do in competition with China.
The problem is the US kills off the vast majority of potential "Elon Musks". Elon Musk almost didn't make it. What is killing them off? There is a reason that I, less than a year after testifying before Congress on privatizing space launch services, proposed <http://ota.polyonymo.us/others-papers/NetAssetTax_Bowery.txt> _replacing_ all taxes on economic activity with a single tax on net assets (at the same rate as the rate of interest on the national debt), and _replacing_ all transfer payments, including the welfare state, with a citizen's dividend (sometimes incorrectly called "Unconditional/Universal Basic Income"). Think about it like this: Musk and Bezos are now neck and neck for the world's richest man. Which would make out better under that tax system? Working class white men (Trump supporters virtually all) are ill-served by the managerial state's delivery of social goods -- and they're about ready to take up arms against that managerial state, after a half century of racial and sexual preferences against them while being vilified as "racist" and "sexist". Hell, even Zuckerberg has started admitting that a "UBI" would permit more risk taking. My working hypothesis about Trumpism* is, and has been since I heard his "Mexican Rapist Speech", that the Likuds ran him the way they did because the Mossad realized that Jews had been had by Mao (PRC): Long ago, the PRC utilized the fact that Jews were central to political economy in the West combined with the fact that it is taboo to even _think_ about "Jews" as influential in the West. For strong evidence of this fact, think about your reaction to that last sentence. Unrestricted warfare -- The Art of War -- in this context means very powerful cascade effects of support in key areas of political economy, such as the Mises Institute and the Chicago School of Economics, etc. The object? Cultivate the worst characteristics of capitalism so that "Libertarians" (for instance) deny the very existence of network effects -- the very network effects that, now, censor the diversity of ideas on the Internet in the form of network effect monopolies over content. Network effects that create so much centralized wealth that those in possession of it can't manage it properly and it ends up attracting highly evolved parasites from around the world. So, yes, China may well win and the reason is in your gut right now reacting to what I just said. *Trumpism's support of a government "AI Initiative", if it is funded the way you suggest it should be, likely to be even more damaging to US competitiveness in AI than are the network effect monopolies' nonsensical efforts like GPT-3. On Wed, Dec 23, 2020 at 9:16 AM Matt Mahoney <[email protected]> wrote: > Meh. AI.gov is about Trump's executive order promoting AI in American > government and industry. But without funding, it's just words. China will > be the world's leader in technology in the next decade. Trump's trade war, > visa restrictions, ban on Chinese technology like Huawei and WeChat, and > delisting Chinese companies from NYSE are all helping China win the race > sooner. > > On Tue, Dec 22, 2020, 6:51 PM Alan Grimes via AGI <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> There is an AI.gov site out there. I skimmed much of it and the sense I >> get from it is that it was templated off of an earlier document written >> in 1980 about the personal computer revolution. >> >> They're trying to get ahead of what they see as an important trend but >> the bottom line is they don't get it. >> >> Furthermore, we don't have a firm grasp on how far the design space of >> AGI is from the design space of systems that are called AI or deep >> learning today. So crossing the "who's getting money" table with who's >> actually close to AGI could be a useful barometer for how close we are >> getting to the singularity. >> >> -- >> The vaccine is a LIE. >> #EggCrisis >> The Great Reset >> Powers are not rights. >> > *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + delivery > options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T3e69a5c2413c8560-Ma4de1a97821927f9697b29b9> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T3e69a5c2413c8560-M54738b285e9a03f83df8efea Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
