For Python coders, here's a model that is "arguably wrong" by Arguably Wrong <https://arguablywrong.home.blog/2020/03/27/updated-epidemiological-modeling/> .
On Wed, Apr 15, 2020 at 9:13 PM Matt Mahoney <[email protected]> wrote: > > > On Tue, Apr 14, 2020, 1:45 PM <[email protected]> wrote: > >> Yous should also know WorldOmeter shows, of all cased closed in USA, 40% >> die. That means basically 1 in 2 people die that get CV in USA! >> >> https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ >> >> Yesterday it said 39%, it's moving up!! >> > > The fatality rate is less than 1% and probably under 0.5%. Half of deaths > are over age 70 and most have other illnesses. > https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/ > > The reason you get 40% of closed cases or 20% all cases is that the number > of cases is vastly undercounted because most asymptomatic and mild cases > are not tested or counted. Only one out of 60 cases in the USA are counted. > https://www.floridatoday.com/story/news/2020/04/09/german-study-u-s-only-detecting-1-6-covid-19-cases/5120978002/ > > I'm not saying that self replicating agents (natural, engineered, or gray > goo) aren't threats, but covid-19 is not one of them. It is a wake up call > to show just how unprepared and vulnerable we are. > >> *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + delivery > options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T219f799b8db5224f-Mff4ff769151eb59deceb6ff1> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T219f799b8db5224f-M3afab61a1ad160380ff30fe6 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
