I have been warning that the greatest threat to humans will be microscopic
self replicating agents. I'm referring, of course to engineered ones, where
anyone with a cheap 3D nanoscale printer that puts atoms exactly where they
want them, can play with these things.

Earth's energy budget, in terawatts.
Output of sun: 384,600,000,000,000 TW.
At Earth's stratosphere: 160,000 TW.
At Earth's surface: 90,000 TW.
Photosynthesis by all plants: 250 TW.
Fuel and electricity production: 15 TW.
Food for humans: 0.8 TW.

Clearly we can design machines that can outcompete biology. We already have
solar panel efficiency of 20-30%, compared to 0.3% for plants. Their main
components are oxygen, silicon, aluminum, and iron, the four most common
elements in the Earth's crust. Freitas calculated the speed and energy
requirements of bacteria-sized self replicating robots. They are of the
same order of magnitude as biology.
https://foresight.org/nano/Ecophagy.php

A gray goo accident would displace DNA based life by blocking sunlight and
choking off the food chain.

You could not do this with current technology in genetic engineering. Even
wiping out a single species (like homo sapiens) would be difficult. New
species of parasitic organisms such as viruses evolve to be less virulent
by two mechanisms. First, by killing those most susceptible and leaving
those with better immune systems, and second, because parasites that don't
kill or incapacitate their hosts spread more successfully.

I have seen a lot of conspiracy theories that covid-19 was designed as a
bioweapon. I doubt it. If it was, it was not a very good one.

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Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI
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