Thanks.

I should have specified that this is for fiber deployment. I shouldn't have
any problem competing speed wise, even with standard GPON. I'm somewhat
curious what to expect take-rate wise since I'm not offering bundled TV
service. My other fiber deployments have been a bit more rural with no
other wire-line operators, so I've had close to 100% take rate.

What are you using for XGSPON?

On Wednesday, March 9, 2022, <dmmoff...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Are we talking about wireless?  If I was starting fresh with wireless
> today, I’d target “up to” 50mbps and have a 100mbps plan for qualifying
> locations.  I’d have an aggressive QoS plan to mitigate impact of heavy
> usage.  I’d be a stickler about achieving and maintaining high MCS.  To
> make that goal easier I’d say screw NLOS.
>
>
>
> I’ve worked at 2 WISPs.  The first built right on top of cable in a medium
> sized city.   The second was almost entirely rural.
>
>
>
> The one building on top of cable never got more than 2% market share, but
> that wasn’t necessarily bad:
>
>    - 2% of a good sized market can still make you plenty of money
>    - The people who care about having the most Mbps just bought cable
>    anyway, and we ended up with lighter and more casual users: I.e.: the cost
>    efficient ones
>    - The people who weren’t happy could just get cable and they wouldn’t
>    be our problem anymore
>    - Time Warner/Spectrum pisses someone off pretty much every day, so
>    there was a steady stream of incoming customers greater than the number
>    that would quit and get cable
>    - There was more churn, but drive time to pick up or install an SM was
>    rarely more than 15 minutes, so it wasn’t a big deal
>
>
>
> The one building mostly rural had a captive audience, but that wasn’t
> necessarily perfect:
>
>    - People felt stuck with them, if they weren’t happy they would just
>    keep complaining about the terrible injustice of the world
>    - You have to try to serve both the light and heavy users.  The heavy
>    users would never be content.  The light users may suffer from heavy users
>    sucking airtime.
>
>
>
> In my mind, the goal is to have customers quietly enjoy their service, pay
> their bills, and not bother me.  You’re a lot more labor efficient in that
> case, and it was way easier to get that if the unhappy ones could leave and
> the ones most concerned about $/mbit never signed up in the first place.
>
>
>
> There’s something like a 15% compound annual growth in data consumption
> per household in the USA and has been since Netflix streaming started
> taking off.  Where that sucks for wireless is there’s no compound annual
> growth in available bandwidth.  You have to plan around congestion and how
> you’ll deal with it, and you’ll have to plan your finances around a short
> upgrade cycle….like 5 years.  I.E.: Plan not just how you’ll pay for
> today’s network, but how you’ll pay for the next network that you’ll need 5
> years from now.  I think that’s the piece that people are missing when they
> think they can still sell internet for $29/month.
>
> OR get into fiber. An XGSPON network has 10Gbps download capacity.  Put 50
> users on an XGSPON port and you won’t have to fret too much about that 15%
> compound growth for a good long while.  You can sell the full speed of the
> ONT’s ethernet port to each customer if you want to (whether that’s 1Gb or
> 2.5Gb) and be confident that it’s truly achievable.  I’m painfully aware of
> the capital required, and if you don’t have it you don’t have it.  In that
> case rethink the whole wireless thing in light of how to cope with high
> demand and a short upgrade cycle.  You won’t get away with selling 5Mb
> plans against cable.  If I couldn’t see a path to victory I’d say exploit
> the tail while thinking about a different business to get into.  There are
> definitely easier businesses to get into.  :shrug:
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> *On Behalf Of *Jason McKemie
> *Sent:* Tuesday, March 08, 2022 7:07 PM
> *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <Af@af.afmug.com>
> *Subject:* [AFMUG] Competing with Mediacom / cableco
>
>
>
> I'm looking at moving into some areas that Mediacom has started serving in
> the past couple of years. For any of you that are already doing this, what
> kind of packages are you having luck with?  What is your typical take rate?
>
>
>
> Thanks!
>
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