I have it first hand that testing in N. Italy is now extensive and that prompted the country wide shut down, the spread numbers were enough to make it obvious that a shut down was necessary.
On 3/11/20 1:28 PM, Mathew Howard wrote:
It seems to me that the number of deaths and critical cases is a lot more meaningful than the total reported cases... all that really tells you is that lots of people were or weren't tested in a particular country. I don't have any idea what's actually going on in Italy as far as testing, buy judging by the number of deaths and critical cases, I'd guess that they've tested far fewer people that other countries where it's widespread and the death rate is much lower.
On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 3:24 PM Steve Jones <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com 
<mailto:thatoneguyst...@gmail.com>> wrote:
    this really is the only graph that matters if youre picking just 1
    image.png

    On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 3:18 PM Sean Heskett <af...@zirkel.us
    <mailto:af...@zirkel.us>> wrote:

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbyPW8lJX2E


        On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 1:29 PM Sean Heskett <af...@zirkel.us
        <mailto:af...@zirkel.us>> wrote:

            Yup great site josh!  We are about 9 days behind Italy.

            The cases grow exponentially every day and what will
            happen is our hospitals have no surge capacity.  20% of
            the people who get it will need ICU level of care.  There
            isn’t capacity for that unless we flatten the curve. The
            same number of people will probably get the virus, the
            difference will be that our health care system can handle
            the load if it is stretched over time.

            Social distancing is the only way to flatten the curve.

            Thanks for sharing!

            -Sean


            On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 1:09 PM Josh Luthman via Wireless
            <wirel...@wispa.org <mailto:wirel...@wispa.org>> wrote:

                
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html?fbclid=IwAR0Hvia4VtxJ1AjJZaTv40aive3k79kdTmOfjt_vGkGz7o4XuY4ZnRO02-Y#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6


                image.png

                Josh Luthman
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                Direct: 937-552-2343
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                On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 2:59 PM Sean Heskett
                <af...@zirkel.us <mailto:af...@zirkel.us>> wrote:

                    https://www.flattenthecurve.com/



                    On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 11:58 AM Sean Heskett
                    <af...@zirkel.us <mailto:af...@zirkel.us>> wrote:

                        I’m sorry folks but this conference really
                        should be canceled for the safety of everyone.

                        Thank you to Sonar For their brave decision
                        yesterday to pull out.

                        I know this would be a hardship for WISPA’s
                        finances so I think we should all pull
                        together to make sure WISPA doesn’t suffer
                        financially.  We need WISPA and our members to
                        be healthy and strong both physically and
                        financially.

                        
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-11/coronavirus-advice-from-bioethicists-cancel-that-conference

                        https://youtu.be/E3URhJx0NSw

                        Best regards,

                        -Sean

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