The other thing about giant tech companies like Google, Amazon, and SpaceX is 
they can do even giant projects at a loss.  Eventually they may intend to make 
a profit, but meanwhile they have used other peoples money to drive you out of 
business.  There are also startups that lose money like crazy chasing market 
share, like ridesharing and coworking companies, although big funds like 
Softbank seem to be learning not to throw billions at startups without a 
business plan to reach profitability.

 

 

From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Ryan Ray
Sent: Tuesday, January 21, 2020 2:18 PM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] The Future

 

I'm still very wary of this. There seems to be a lot of over-promising under 
delivering. In typical Elon fashion, no details but the world runs with it and 
puts out all these data models that make it seem like the second coming of 
christ. Customer CPE is a pizza box ufo <$200 and they are starting in 2020, 
but there's no pictures or details. How is that even possible? We're buying 
450b at a more expensive cost and there ain't no phased antenna with motors in 
it. 

 

Then all you read online is the cult following of spaceslax who takes a twitter 
post as gospel and just keeps perpetuating the same tired information. 

 

 

 

On Mon, Jan 20, 2020 at 10:02 AM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com 
<mailto:part15...@gmail.com> > wrote:

If the SpaceX Starlink system works at 50% of what it's hyped, it will 
become the future of rural internet. Urban is still going to be 
dominated (eventually) by fiber for the foreseeable future. Higher speed 
wireless will be very, very local.


bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 1/19/2020 6:29 PM, Matt Hoppes wrote:
> I don’t know why, but this evening got me thinking about broadband delivery 
> over the past 30 years and the future of broadband.
>
> First we had nothing, then along came dial-up and that was amazing and many 
> companies sprung up offering the service. Giants like AOL and Prodigy.
>
> Then DSL and Cable came along as well as wireless and dial-up has all but 
> died.
>
> Now DSL is basically dead, cable and wireless have gone through several 
> iterations and we are seeing a push to fiber.
>
> What’s the possibility in the next 10 years cable and wireless will be dead 
> technologies with fiber at the fore front?  Possibly.
>
> But then..... is fiber really future proof?  We are talking about investing 
> hundreds of millions into fiber infrastructure, because it’s “the future”. 
> But is it?
>
> So far every technology delivery mechanism to date has become obsolete in as 
> little as 6-10 years.

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