> Well... except that I'd argue *MULTIMODE* fiber isn't that "future proof".

FTFY

Jared

> Sent: Monday, January 20, 2020
> From: "Matt Hoppes" <mattli...@rivervalleyinternet.net>
> To: "AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group" <af@af.afmug.com>, "Ken Hohhof" 
> <af...@kwisp.com>
> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] The Future
>
> Well... except that I'd argue fiber isn't that "future proof".
> 
> I purchased an ISP that came with an outdoor fiber network.  That 
> outdoor network was MM with repeaters ever few blocks, because well MM.
> 
> That entire network is useless..... so....... I submit that as Exhibit 
> A, your honor.
> 
> On 1/19/20 10:31 PM, Ken Hohhof wrote:
> > I think that is the right answer, but the government seems to have fallen 
> > out of love with fiber and is smitten with mobile wireless, which in their 
> > future will replace everything.
> > 
> > The right answer may not prevail, in the face of power and money.
> > 
> > Once upon a time we focused on 20 and 30 year infrastructure solutions.  
> > Look at how easily you can upgrade a fiber network.  Then look at what it 
> > took to go from 2G to 3G to 4G to 5G, and imagine having to do that for 
> > 20-30 more years, through 6G and 7G and 8G and beyond.  Where all that 
> > spectrum will come from, who knows.  No similar problem exists with fiber.
> > 
> > The ironic thing is that the biggest stumbling block to rural millimeter 
> > wave based 5G would be running fiber to all those towers.  If you're going 
> > to run fiber to everybody's personal cell tower (because the houses are 
> > half a mile apart), why not just run the fiber to their house.
> > 
> > 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Adam Moffett
> > Sent: Sunday, January 19, 2020 8:35 PM
> > To: af@af.afmug.com
> > Subject: Re: [AFMUG] The Future
> > 
> > Right now on fiber we're blinking the light on and off like the people a 
> > hundred years ago sending morse code by blinking a radio on and off.
> > 
> > Right now you can run 9600 gbps with commercial off the shelf hardware, 
> > blinking 96 different colored lights.  Some day you'll have one set of 
> > optics running all those wavelengths at the same time and modulating them 
> > all.  Then that one fiber will carry tens of thousands of gigabits per 
> > second.
> > 
> > I don't know if that's "future proof" enough for the long haul, but it 
> > ought to be good enough for the next 30 years I should think.
> > 
> > -Adam
> > 
> > 
> > On 1/19/2020 9:29 PM, Matt Hoppes wrote:
> >> I don’t know why, but this evening got me thinking about broadband 
> >> delivery over the past 30 years and the future of broadband.
> >>
> >> First we had nothing, then along came dial-up and that was amazing and 
> >> many companies sprung up offering the service. Giants like AOL and Prodigy.
> >>
> >> Then DSL and Cable came along as well as wireless and dial-up has all but 
> >> died.
> >>
> >> Now DSL is basically dead, cable and wireless have gone through several 
> >> iterations and we are seeing a push to fiber.
> >>
> >> What’s the possibility in the next 10 years cable and wireless will be 
> >> dead technologies with fiber at the fore front?  Possibly.
> >>
> >> But then..... is fiber really future proof?  We are talking about 
> >> investing hundreds of millions into fiber infrastructure, because it’s 
> >> “the future”. But is it?
> >>
> >> So far every technology delivery mechanism to date has become obsolete in 
> >> as little as 6-10 years.
> > 
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> > 
> > 
> > 
> 
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