Moin,

am 08.02.2019 um 17:24 schrieb Nikolas Pediaditis:
> Following your questions, I have some numbers and other information that 
> might be useful.
>
> 1. Currently, there will be 977,408 IPv4 addresses remaining in our free pool 
> once we are no longer able to allocate contiguous /22s. This number excludes 
> prefixes that are smaller than a /24 and those prefixes that have been 
> reserved for IXP assignments or temporary assignments. It might also be 
> slightly larger by then, due to addresses that are recovered in the meantime.
>
> 2. Over the past three years, we have recovered the following amounts of IPv4 
> addresses:
>
> 2016: 83,712
> 2017: 106,368
> 2018: 53,824

Thank you, Nikolas, for the figures.

So we're still talking about ~3.8k _new_ LIRs that end up with a /22 worth of 
addresses in /24s or /23s before 2019-02 would kick in and prolongate the 
infirmity of IPv4. 3.8k new LIRs that happily can consider starting a business 
based on IPv4, a legacy technology, and ignore the facts.

As Carlos Friaças pointed out on 08.02.2019 at 09:15:
> The core purpose of 2019-02 is to allow (more) newcomers to access a tiny bit 
> of IPv4 address space so their (hopefully IPv6-enabled) infrastructure will 
> have path to the IPv4-only world (without going to the market). 

Let's put this into perspective: "I see 757979 IPv4 prefixes. This is 238 fewer 
prefixes than 6 hours ago and 1051 more than a week ago. 57.04% of prefixes are 
/24. There are 63602 unique originating ASNs. 47266 of these ASNs originate 
IPv4 only" (Source: https://twitter.com/bgp4_table/status/1097420515206152192)

With still about 75% ASNs being IPv4 only, there's definitively no point in 
prolonging the availability of fresh IPv4 space by reducing the hand-out rate. 
"IPv4 is over", I hear — so let's be brave and stick to that statement.

Regards,
-kai



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