On Sun, May 2, 2010 14:12, Richard Elling wrote:
> On May 1, 2010, at 1:56 PM, Bob Friesenhahn wrote:
>> On Fri, 30 Apr 2010, Freddie Cash wrote:
>>> Without a periodic scrub that touches every single bit of data in the
>>> pool, how can you be sure
>>> that 10-year files that haven't been opened in 5 years are still
>>> intact?
>>
>> You don't.  But it seems that having two or three extra copies of the
>> data on different disks should instill considerable confidence.  With
>> sufficient redundancy, chances are that the computer will explode before
>> it loses data due to media corruption.  The calculated time before data
>> loss becomes longer than even the pyramids in Egypt could withstand.
>
> These calculations are based on fixed MTBF.  But disk MTBF decreases with
> age. Most disks are only rated at 3-5 years of expected lifetime. Hence,
> archivists
> use solutions with longer lifetimes (high quality tape = 30 years) and
> plans for
> migrating the data to newer media before the expected media lifetime is
> reached.
> In short, if you don't expect to read your 5-year lifetime rated disk for
> another 5 years,
> then your solution is uhmm... shall we say... in need of improvement.

Are they giving tape that long an estimated life these days?  They
certainly weren't last time I looked.

And I basically don't trust tape; too many bad experiences (ever since I
moved off of DECTape, I've been having bad experiences with tape).  The
drives are terribly expensive and I can't afford redundancy, and in thirty
years I very probably could not buy a new drive for my old tapes.

I started out a big fan of tape, but the economics have been very much
against it in the range I'm working (small; 1.2 terabytes usable on my
server currently).

I don't expect I'll keep my hard disks for 30 years; I expect I'll upgrade
them periodically, probably even within their MTBF.  (Although note that,
though tests haven't been run, the MTBF of a 5-year disk after 4 years is
nearly certainly greater than 1 year.)

-- 
David Dyer-Bennet, d...@dd-b.net; http://dd-b.net/
Snapshots: http://dd-b.net/dd-b/SnapshotAlbum/data/
Photos: http://dd-b.net/photography/gallery/
Dragaera: http://dragaera.info

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