It turns out that even rather poor prediction accuracy is good enough to make a 
big difference (10x) in the failure probability of a RAID system.

See Gordon Hughes & Joseph Murray, "Reliability and Security of RAID Storage 
Systems and D2D Archives Using SATA Disk Drives", ACM Transactions on Storage, 
Vol. 1, No. 1, December 2004, Pages 95–107.
 
 
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