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On Tue, 15 Dec 2020 09:25:48 -0800 (PST)
Ton vanN <tonv...@gmail.com> wrote:

> You open can of worms, because [there are] a large amount of
> variations of Growing Degree Days related to different animals,
> insects and plants.

See:

o University of California, Agriculture and Natural
Resources. "Research Models: Insects, Mites, Diseases, Plants, and
Beneficials." 2014. 15 Apr. 2018
<http://ipm.ucanr.edu/MODELS/index.html>.

o Coop, Len. "Library of Degree-Day Models for Insects and Plants." 11
Feb. 2007. Integrated Plant Protection Center, Oregon State U. 1
Nov. 2020 <http://uspest.org/wea/wealib.html.>

The models for insect development are very similar but have different
threshold and cutoff temperatures and use different cutoff techniques.
Models developed in one part of the world may not be immediately
applicable to other parts.  Many insect species apparently have local
strains that are adapted to local conditions.  The models are robust
enough to be useful without exactly matching local conditions, and
differences between modeling techniques are minor.

There are all kinds of weather-related mathematical models with
agribusiness applications beyond just weather prediction.  Recently,
I stumbled upon one that models the growth of pollen tubes in apples
dependent upon temperature.  The idea is that you can burn off the
flowers by spraying lime sulfur.  The trick is to do this after the
pollen tubes for the king fruit have reached their ovaries and to keep
doing it often enough to keep new pollen tubes from reaching theirs.
This favors the earliest flowers while thinning the rest of the crop in
(hopefully) an organically acceptable way.  There are attendant risks.
Early pollination may not be as reliable as you suppose or as you
hope.  Different varieties of apples have different pollen-tube
lengths, and the germ plasm traverses them at different rates, so you
may not be using an appropriate model if you have a different
pollinator or an odd-ball variety of apple or even a variant of a well
tested variety.  I guess the gee-whiz factor makes up for the
uncertainties of the technology.

- -- 
.. Be Seeing You,
.. Chuck Rhode, Sheboygan, WI, USA
.. Weather:  http://LacusVeris.com/WX
.. 30° — Wind N 3 mph — Sky overcast.

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