http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-
cheney21jan21,0,2703424.story?coll=la-home-headlines 
THE INAUGURATION
U.S. Adds Israel to the Iran Equation
The Jewish state 'might well decide to act first' to foil Tehran's 
nuclear ambitions, Cheney says.
By Paul Richter
Times Staff Writer

January 21, 2005

WASHINGTON � In bluntly threatening terms on Inauguration Day, Vice 
President Dick Cheney removed any doubt that in its second term the 
Bush administration intended to directly confront the theocracy in 
Tehran.

Cheney, who often has delivered the Bush team's toughest warnings to 
foreign capitals, said Iran was "right at the top" of the 
administration's list of world trouble spots, and expressed concern 
that Israel "might well decide to act first" to destroy Iran's 
nuclear program. The Israelis would let the rest of the world "worry 
about cleaning up the diplomatic mess afterward," he added in a 
radio interview with Don Imus that was also broadcast on MSNBC.

The tough talk was part of the administration's attempt to halt what 
Iran contends is a peaceful, civilian nuclear energy program but 
which Washington believes is a clandestine program to develop 
nuclear weapons.

Facing weak diplomatic and military options, the administration has 
issued increasingly stern warnings in hopes that threats of 
sanctions and international isolation will convince Iran to shun 
nuclear weapons. President Bush and other top administration 
officials also have spoken in menacing terms about Iran in recent 
days.

But Cheney's words marked the first time that a senior official has 
amplified the threat by suggesting that the United States could be 
unable to prevent military attack by its close allies in Jerusalem, 
analysts and diplomats said.

The startling reference to an Israeli attack was "the kind of strong 
language that will get their attention in Tehran," said one allied 
diplomat in Washington, who spoke on condition of anonymity. 

"There's a rhetorical escalation here: They've ratcheted up the 
threat level by bringing Israel in," said Henri J. Barkey, a former 
State Department official during the Clinton 
administration. "They're using the fact of the inauguration, and the 
uncertainty people have about where they're going in the next term, 
to say, 'Look, we're not going to let up on Iran.' " 

Despite Iranian denials, Cheney said the United States believed 
Tehran had a "fairly robust, new nuclear program." Germany, France 
and Britain are trying to negotiate with Iran on the issue, an 
approach U.S. officials say they support but refuse to join as they 
express doubts over its prospects. 

Cheney said the American emphasis was on diplomacy and supporting 
the European efforts. But he added, "At some point, if the Iranians 
don't live up to their commitments, the next step will be to take it 
to the United Nations Security Council and seek the imposition of 
international sanctions." 

U.S. officials cited Iraq's failure to live up to U.N. resolutions 
on its weapons programs as a reason for launching war in that 
country. Despite the administration's insistence that Iraq had 
weapons of mass destruction, none have been found.

Reports have swirled in recent weeks that U.S. officials have 
contemplated ways of taking military action against Iran, but Cheney 
raised the stakes by suggesting that Israel might act first. Cheney 
addressed the issue when asked whether the U.S. could ask Israel to 
lead military action against Iran.

"One of the concerns that people have is that Israel might do it 
without being asked," Cheney said. "If in fact the Israelis became 
convinced the Iranians had significant nuclear capability � given 
the fact that Iran has a stated policy that their objective is the 
destruction of Israel � the Israelis might well decide to act 
first." 

Israeli analysts have said they believe Iran could develop a bomb in 
two to three years; U.S. intelligence has predicted it could take 
slightly longer. Israeli officials have said they might turn to 
military strikes as a last resort.

But military strikes would have no value if Iran developed the 
ability to enrich uranium, which Israel believes is possible in 
within a year, the officials said. At that point, the Iranians would 
be able to disperse their equipment sufficiently to put it beyond 
the reach of any attacker.

Cheney's comments come at a time when there has been increasing 
public discussion of the possibility of military strikes, and heated 
public exchanges from officials in Washington and Tehran on the 
nuclear program.

On Monday, Bush said in an interview that he could not rule out the 
use of military force if Tehran could not be persuaded to abandon 
its efforts. On Tuesday, during her confirmation hearing, Secretary 
of State-designate Condoleezza Rice condemned Iran for its support 
of terrorism and its hostility toward Israel. She included Iran 
among six "outposts of tyranny" that would be targeted by the State 
Department. Iran was also one of the three nations � along with Iraq 
and North Korea � that Bush described as an "axis of evil" in his 
2002 State of Union address.

This week, a report in the New Yorker magazine said U.S. commandos 
had been operating inside Iran to find potential targets for attack. 
The Pentagon said the report was "riddled with errors," but did not 
directly deny a commando presence there.

In response, Hashemi Rafsanjani, Iran's influential former 
president, said the country would "not be intimidated by foreign 
enemies' threats and sanctions." 

Israel has expressed anxiety over Iran's stance. "Iran poses a clear 
threat to international peace and security," said an Israeli 
diplomat, who spoke on condition of anonymity. "Iran is a leading 
sponsor of terrorism in the Middle East, while actively developing 
weapons of mass destruction and nuclear programs. The world should 
unite and pressure Iran from these destructive activities." 

Cheney was a leading administration proponent of the war against 
Iraq, and remained adamant during Thursday's MSNBC interview that 
former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein posed a threat to the outside 
world because of weapons of mass destruction, despite repeated 
findings that Iraq's production capabilities had been eliminated and 
that there were no stockpiles of weapons. 

Intelligence reports cited by the administration to support its view 
that there were weapons later proved to be wrong. 

"But he had a lot of other things," Cheney said, citing a CIA 
inspection report. "He had the technology, he had the people who'd 
done it before�. He kept open labs and the intelligence service that 
were still doing ongoing research and so forth. And he clearly had 
the intentions, once sanctions were lifted, that he would go back � 
be back in business again." 

Cheney also asserted that, in 1991, Iraq was less than a year away 
from the ability to produce a nuclear bomb. He reiterated the widely 
contested view that there was a connection between Al Qaeda and 
Iraq. 

The commission created to study the Sept. 11 attacks concluded that 
there was no "collaborative, operational relationship" between Iraq 
and the terrorist group.

And the CIA report cited by Cheney said that Iraq in 1991 
was "within a few years" of producing a nuclear weapon, but that the 
Persian Gulf War and U.N. sanctions ended the program.

By 2003, when the U.S. went to war against Iraq, the CIA concluded 
that though Hussein hoped to one day resume his weapons program, he 
lacked a written strategy, staff or infrastructure to do so.


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