Joshua Cude wrote:
Most of those things are tools, and I believe in them like I believe
in hammers. But no matter how much you believe in hammers, it doesn't
mean you can build a house.
Let me spell out what you believe. You may not agree, but here are the
implications of what you are saying.
You believe that a group of roughly 2,000 highly qualified professional
scientists who have repeatedly measured an effect at high signal to
noise ratios are wrong. Every one of them was wrong, in ever single
instance. If even one was right, that would make cold fusion real.
Taken as a group, there is no chance that such a large randomly selected
group could are all wrong for 22 years. Yes, people make mistakes. Yes,
hammers are tools, and people make mistakes with tools. I have seen
someone with a modern pneumatic hammer accidentally drive a nail through
his hand. However, there is absolutely no chance that a randomly
selected group of 2,000 professional carpenters will all cause such
serious accidents every single day for 22 years. If that could happen,
carpentry would impossible. You can be certain that any group of
professional carpenters, scientists, programmers or any other group is
capable of doing their jobs most of the time without severe errors. In
order for cold fusion to be wrong, every single one of these people
would have to be making drastic errors repeatedly, for 22 years.
Now let's look a specific individual. See p. 13-3 of the NSF-EPRI
conference proceedings:
http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/EPRInsfepriwor.pdf
Roland A. Jalbert
*25 years working with tritium and tritium detection
*involved in the development, design, and implementation of tritium
instrumentation for 15 years
*for 12 years he has had prime responsibility for the design,
implementation, and maintainance of all tritium instrumentation at a
major fusion technology development facility (Tritium Systems Test
Assembly).
*Consultant on tritium instrumentation to other fusion energy
facilities for 10 years (Tokamak Fusion Test Reactor at Princeton)
This is one of the world's top experts at detecting tritium. He and
others at Los Alamos detected tritium repeatedly, at such high levels,
they could not be caused by contamination. A similar group of experts in
the Safety Division at BARC also measured tritium, in one case 10E18
atoms. They say they are certain the tritium is real, and they point
that their lives depend upon detecting it correctly.
You are saying that Jalbert, these experts, the people at TAMU and
experts at roughly a hundred other institutions all thought they
measured tritium, but they were all wrong. You are saying that you know
more about tritium than they do, and you are sure they are wrong. You
don't have to have a reason -- you just know. Remember: if even one
tritium result is real, or one example of heat beyond the limits of
chemistry, that means cold fusion is real, and you are wrong.
What you saying boils down to an arrogant, unfounded, ignorant assertion
that widespread replication does not mean anything; that peer-review and
high signal to noise results mean nothing. That forces the conclusion
that the experimental does not work. The scientific method does not
work. If that were true, we would still be living in caves.
- Jed
