This is completely off topic, but I put a lot of thought into it, and I
would like to share it.

In the U.S., thousands more people will die because the vaccines already on
hand are not being administered quickly. If the vaccination program had
been properly organized, this could have been avoided. This should have
been done months ago. I, or any other superannuated programmer, would know
how to avoid this mess. Once again we see the cost of ignorance,
incompetence, and not letting experts do their jobs.


The rollout of the vaccine in Georgia is the worst in the US. Only 23% of
the vaccines have been administered. The feds are threatening to withhold
additional doses until this mess is straightened out. Rural hospitals are
getting more doses than they can use and throwing out unused ones, while
some urban hospitals have gotten nothing.

This is caused by incompetent leadership and by the fact that our
healthcare system is fragmented and chaotic in the best of times. The
hospitals are filthy and they often cause nosocomial infections. Billing is
ridiculous. Some have sent me the same bill 3 or 4 times after I pay it.
So, it is no surprise they cannot handle vaccination.

The county and drug store websites say they cannot accept appointment
applications for at least 2 weeks. My doctor's office sent me a form today
to sign up for a vaccination appointment. They actually advised me to sign
up with CVS and with the county health systems as well! If people do that,
there will be double and triple duplicate registrations and many people
will not show up for the appointments. I was able to register myself, and I
got an email response within minutes. But when I went back to get an
appointment for my wife the system did not work. No response. I called the
telephone number but they said they could do nothing.

I do not know why they are having physical difficulty transporting and
administering the vaccinations. The news reports have been sketchy. The
feds have no idea how many doses they have in stock. They gave the states
the wrong information a week ago. In Georgia it seems they have no idea
where the vaccines are, how many are needed, or how to distribute them, and
they cannot find people to administer them. There may be other difficulties
I have not read about.

I cannot judge what physical problems they are having, but now that I have
tried to sign up, I can see the problems with the data processing. In 1979
I was programming 64 KB minicomputers to do municipal applications rather
similar to this, such as keeping track of water bills in small cities.
These machines could process hundreds of thousands of transactions a month.
If you gave me one of those machines today, I could probably set up an
effective system to register everyone in Atlanta, and to assign an
appointment. It would work with printed text on punch cards, which were
mailed out to households. Nowadays the transaction goes over the internet,
but the principle is the same. It would collect applications, sort them,
assign an appointment, and mail back the confirmation card to the patient,
along with a cancellation card. Given the speed of those computers it would
probably run many hours overnight in batch processing, and then print out
and mail the cards the next day. This task can now be done in real time.
But again, the principle is the same.

I would have a file of patients with names, address, date of birth and so
on, and a file of providers such as hospitals and drugstores, with the
number of vaccinations each is capable of doing per day. I would work out
application specific details such as how to contact people after 1 p.m.
when some people have not come for their scheduled appointments and extra
doses are available. I would use zip codes to assign patients to the
closest provider.

In other words, I could spec out a system for doing this in a few days. I
could tell the programmers how to make a better system than we have in
Georgia. I could have done this back in April 2020, and we would have had
the whole thing up and running long before the vaccine became available.
This is Data Processing 101. It is the sort of thing people like me have
been doing since the 1960s. It is not rocket science. Bill Gates and I (the
same age) were both doing stuff like this in high school. Yet no data
processing system like this was ready in December. Not in Georgia, and not
in the Federal government. None of this is working now. Not at the state
level, the hospital I go to, or any drug store. Problems such as combining
the registration and the appointment allocation functions should be obvious
to any programmer. They are idiotic mistakes. This is a travesty.

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