Yes, it very much supports your point.
What tickled me about it was his attempt to quantify the challenge of
keeping a large-scale conspiracy under wraps.
Personally, I wouldn't have chosen the Snowden story as the baseline;
too much still unknown and relatively little corroborated. Iran-Contra
seems a better case, given the wealth of documentation complete enough
to have led to multiple convictions.
Bringing this back OT. maybe there's an app that needs to be made:
Enter the date the conspiracy is said to have taken place, an estimate
of the maximum number of people likely to know about it, and then it
would crunch the numbers to estimate the likelihood that the described
event actually managed to remain a secret all this time.
:)
--
Richard Gaskin
Bob Sneidar wrote:
> Nice article, but his example of the Snowden revelations actually
> proves my point.
>
> Bob S
>
>
>> On Oct 3, 2017, at 12:20 , Richard Gaskin wrote:
>>
>> Bob Sneidar wrote:
>>
>> > Well then the REAL miracle to the moon launch is how Nasa either
>> > deceived the thousands of people who worked on the project, and
>> > keeps them deceived to this day, or else were able to keep all
>> > those thousands of people from talking or writing a book.
>>
>> Arithmetically unlikely:
>>
>>
https://phys.org/news/2016-01-equation-large-scale-conspiracies-quickly-reveal.html
>>
>> --
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