> After the news that Canonical is abandoning unity the following became clear 
> to me. Free and open source OS on personal computing devices will never 
> became a success.

Depends on how you define “success”. If “success” is synonymous with “making a 
profit”, you are probably mostly right. It’s hard to create a business model 
around open source. There are a few companies who’ve managed to do it but, by 
and large, something that is available free of charge, pretty much be 
definition, has no monetary value. So, if I want to make a business out of open 
source, I have to find some way to add value, otherwise no-one will buy what 
I’m selling.

But there are other measures of “success”. For example, if we were to count all 
the installed systems world-wide that intrinsically rely on some open source 
components to function, I suspect we’d find that the open source “participation 
rate" is close to 100%. Open source has indeed changed the computing landscape 
in a fundamental and dramatic way, because it has enabled closed source 
software to be developed so much more cheaply and efficiently.

> Only technical users and nerds benefit from free and open source OS.

I strongly disagree with that. There are tons of companies that make a very 
good living out of software that is largely built on top of LGPL open source. 
It’s not that long ago that companies had to pay per developer seat for a 
compiler, for example. But, what’s behind that isn’t so much that the source is 
open, but that it doesn’t cost anything. The argument that open source is a 
safer choice because you get the source code is mostly a red herring. If I’m a 
vendor of accounting software, the source code for gcc does me no good 
whatsoever because, if there is a bug in gcc, I’ll have neither the skills nor 
the inclination to learn enough about how gcc works to fix a bug or add a 
feature.

Ordinary people benefit from open source every day. The router in my home runs 
some open source. My TV does. My solar system does. Virtually ever web server 
on the planet does. Etc, etc. And one of the reasons why these devices are as 
cheap as they are is that the vendors didn’t have to spend years of research 
and development to create all that code themselves.

Michi.
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