I think you're probably right about the archive. Looking through your
console output you've done nothing obviously wrong. The only thing that
comes to mind is that the guide you linked to is for upgrading from 6.06
rather than 7.10 and it uses the server upgrade method rather than
desktop for Ubuntu rather than Kubuntu. As far as I know this should
still work. For completeness sake it might be worth trying the
instructions from the official upgrade guide which are here
https://help.ubuntu.com/community/HardyUpgrades/Kubuntu.

Let us know how it turns out

-- 
Distribution upgrade to Hardy Heron 
https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/224486
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