Public bug reported:

Attempting to run "do-release-upgrade -p" because the signature of a
plain "do-release-upgrade" has a purportedly invalid signature.  This is
an upgrade from an up-to-date 12.05.5-LTS to 14.04.1-LTS, pulling
packages through squid-deb-proxy on another machine, using the command-
line updater over ssh. The updater starts up, switches software sources,
pulls down the new information, and then exits, telling me only:

...
Calculating the changes

Could not calculate the upgrade

An unresolvable problem occurred while calculating the upgrade.

This can be caused by: 
* Upgrading to a pre-release version of Ubuntu 
* Running the current pre-release version of Ubuntu 
* Unofficial software packages not provided by Ubuntu 

If none of this applies, then please report this bug using the 
command 'ubuntu-bug ubuntu-release-upgrader-core' in a terminal. 
...

This is not particularly helpful, as it doesn't give me any clue
whatsoever as to what packages are potentially conflicting, or if the
problem is even on my end.  It would be nice if the tools indicated that
there were debug logs somewhere, or game me a hint as to what packages
are involved, or drew an ASCII-art guy on a bicycle from a 1990's usenet
signature block, or /something/ beyond simply taking its ball and going
home.

I suspect that there's an issue with using the postgres packages from
the postgres repository rather than the official Ubuntu packages.  But
that's just a wild guess based on previous conflicts rather than
anything based on what's really going on.  I'll eventually track down
what the problem is here, but meanwhile this is, I guess, a feature
request for somewhat more usable failure messages.

ProblemType: Bug
DistroRelease: Ubuntu 12.04
Package: update-manager 1:0.156.14.17
ProcVersionSignature: Ubuntu 3.2.0-65.99-generic-pae 3.2.60
Uname: Linux 3.2.0-65-generic-pae i686
ApportVersion: 2.0.1-0ubuntu17.8
Architecture: i386
Date: Tue Jan 13 18:26:15 2015
MarkForUpload: True
PackageArchitecture: all
ProcEnviron:
 TERM=xterm
 PATH=(custom, no user)
 LANG=en_US.UTF-8
 SHELL=/bin/bash
SourcePackage: update-manager
Symptom: ubuntu-release-upgrader-core
UpgradeStatus: Upgraded to precise on 2015-01-14 (0 days ago)

** Affects: update-manager (Ubuntu)
     Importance: Undecided
         Status: New


** Tags: apport-bug dist-upgrade i386 precise

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/1410589

Title:
  Upgrade fails with no usable explanation

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