PHD POSITION IN IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES FOR REASONING WITH RISK AT
UNIVERSITY COLLEGE CORK

This PhD position is jointly funded by the Irish Research Council for
Science and Engineering Technology (IRCSET) and IBM, and is part of a larger
project involving several researchers at IBM and University College Cork,
Ireland, working in different aspects of risk management.

There is a substantial literature on probabilistic approaches for risk
analysis. However, it can be very hard to obtain reliable and precise values
of the probability of some events, especially if we do not have good
historical data about such events, or if changed circumstances reduce the
relevance of previous data or experience. The cost or value of an event can
be even harder to reliably estimate. Furthermore, an expert can sometimes be
more comfortable with giving more qualitative probabilistic or cost
information. A number of theories of reasoning with uncertainty have been
developed - in particular, in the Artificial Intelligence community - which
are related to notions of imprecise probability. The aim of this project is
to develop models of risk analysis based on imprecise probabilities and
other uncertainty and cost formalisms, in particular, based on graphical
models.

The candidate should have a good honours degree in Computer Science,
Mathematics, Engineering, Economics, Business Studies or a related subject,
strong mathematical ability and competent programming skills.

Please apply to Dr. Nic Wilson (n.wil...@4c.ucc.ie, Cork Constraint
Computation Centre, Dept of Computer Science, University College Cork,
Ireland) with a current CV.

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