-----Original Message----- From: silklist [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Deepa Mohan Sent: 01 July 2014 10:24 To: Intelligent Conversation Subject: Re: [silk] A woman's reaction to England's world cup knock-out
On Tue, Jul 1, 2014 at 2:49 PM, SS <[email protected]> wrote: > http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbISE9IM5Sk There is no explanation of how that statistic, 38% rise in domestic violence...women being knocked about as a direct result of England being knocked out, was arrived at. I am getting warier and warier of internet statistics and data....the net seems to be our modern equivalent of the vedas...ask not any question, but accept unhesitatingly... Deepa. The video itself doesn't cite sources for the statistics but it was covered extensively in the GB press. http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/jun/08/police-fear-rise-domestic-violence-world-cup http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2671696/Clip-woman-anxiously-watching-football-reveals-domestic-violence-rises-England-exit-World-Cup.html Most articles cite the University of Lancaster study that looked at correlations in police reports from 2002, 2006 and 2010. http://www.research.lancs.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/can-the-fifa-world-cup-football-soccer-tournament-be-associated-with-an-increase-in-domestic-abuse(c773c37b-8f97-48a8-8238-9d6f6c381b35).html Abstract This study aims to establish whether empirical evidence exists to support the anecdotal view that the FIFA world cup football (soccer) tournament can be associated with a rise in reported domestic abuse incidents, when viewed remotely via television. Methods A quantitative analysis, using Poisson and negative binomial regression models looked at monthly and daily domestic abuse incidents reported to a police force in the North West of England across three separate tournaments (2002, 2006, 2010). Results The study found two statistically significant trends. A match day trend showed the risk of domestic abuse rose by 26% when the English national team won or drew, and a 38% increase when the national team lost. Secondly a tournament trend was apparent, as reported domestic abuse incidents increased in frequency with each new tournament. Conclusions Although this is a relatively small study it has significant ramifications due to the global nature of televised football (soccer) tournaments. If replicated it presents significant opportunities to identify and reduce incidents of domestic abuse associated with televised soccer games. Rgds, Keith
