On Thu, Sep 18, 2008 at 10:24:46AM +0530, Udhay Shankar N wrote:

> I agree that nanotech definitely needs to be in there, as does water
> (which I think will be the cause of the next round of wars). I am a
> little more ambiguous about AI - especially since we don't really have

Why, if you have nanotechnology, you can do everything by brute-force.

> a good definition of what the "I" in "AI" is.

Of course you have, you're looking at it in your bathroom mirror, daily.
 
> OTOH, this[1] is thought-provoking: Kevin Kelly making the points that
> a) the web is only 5000 days old, and who knows what will happen in
> the next 5000; and b) the number of transistors currently linking

The average GPU complexity today is way over a gigatransistor.

> online has reached about the same number as the neurons in a human
> brain.
> 
> Transcendence, here we come?

Not unless you engineer your system for emergence of it. No amounts
of lolcats will cogitoergosum spontaneously.

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Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org";>leitl</a> http://leitl.org
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