E. T. Jaynes argued that probabilities are only a representation of our state of information, and are not in themselves properties of the physical universe (outside of our brains). The idea of physical probabilities he called "the mind projection fallacy." You can read about this in his book _Pro
The fact that Lumina Decision Systems (lumina.com), Decisioneering
(decisioneering.com), Palisade (www.palisade.com), TreeAge Software
(www.treeage.com), and other companies selling decision analysis
software are still in business, and have been for many years, is
pretty good evidence that
On Nov 17, 2005, at 2:08 PM, Jason Palmer wrote:
> It is my understanding that Bayesians also believe in fixed
> distributions for given phenomena.
At least one major proponent of Bayesian methods -- E. T. Jaynes --
would strongly disagree with this statement, calling it an example of
the
