Re: [FRIAM] Can current AI beat humans at doing science?

2021-07-21 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
record publish a paper authored > by AlphaFold (or kin) as author and that paper at least posits a credible > theory or partial theory that transcends "here is the fold of the xyz > sequence to address why that fold is 'necessary' or 'useful'. > > davew > &g

Re: [FRIAM] for our psychonauts

2021-08-06 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I haven't heard of Sasha Chapin so I did a millisecond's worth of research on him. Is he the kind of guy that is known to tell stories? I found out that he's a fan of Jordan Peterson. https://sashachapin.substack.com/p/the-jordan-peterson-we-deserve-or My conclusion (tongue in cheek): you can't bel

[FRIAM] Bike is the slow death of the planet

2021-08-07 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I don't know who wrote this originally, I got it on social media: "Bike is the slow death of the planet ". A banker made economists think this when he said: ′′ A cyclist is a disaster for the country's economy: he doesn't buy cars or borrow money to buy. He doesn't pay insurance policies Doesn't b

Re: [FRIAM] Bike is the slow death of the planet

2021-08-07 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
of travel, a gallon of gasoline, 5 minutes of > chit-chat with the gormless clerk at CVS, and three dollars. Do we > applaud Amazon or do we boycott it? > > > > Rage, rage against the dying of the light. > > > > N > > > > > > Nick Thompson >

Re: [FRIAM] off-label technologies, exaptatiion and exponential technological growth.

2021-08-08 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
The CDC reports that among 4,899,447 hospitalized adults in PHD-SR, 540,667 (11.0%) were patients with COVID-19, of whom 94.9% had at least 1 underlying medical condition. https://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2021/21_0123.htm. My reading of this is that it is mainly preventable conditions and my simple

Re: [FRIAM] off-label technologies, exaptatiion and exponential technological growth.

2021-08-08 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
son > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Sunday, August 8, 2021 5:16 AM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> >

Re: [FRIAM] Moral collapse and state failure

2021-08-08 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Well, I'm from South Africa, and we have been close to moral collapse and IMO that could have led to our state failing. If you ask ten South Africans you'll get maybe twenty opinions, below is just my very brief view of what has been and what is happening in South Africa. South Africa became demo

Re: [FRIAM] off-label technologies, exaptatiion and exponential technological growth.

2021-08-08 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
interested in your assertion that metabolic disorders like diabetes > and obesity are preventable. > > > > N > > > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter S

Re: [FRIAM] off-label technologies, exaptatiion and exponential technological growth.

2021-08-08 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
> n > > > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Sunday, August 8, 2021 1:19 PM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > fria

Re: [FRIAM] Moral collapse and state failure

2021-08-08 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
nder what the essential factor is: do immoral presidents cause the > collapse of democracy in a country by undermining democratic institutions > or is it the other way round: the economy (and therefore the country) is > already broken and institutions are weak, which enables immoral > aut

Re: [FRIAM] Moral collapse and state failure

2021-08-10 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Steve, Thanks for your hopes for us in South Africa. I try not to be judgemental, so I will just say that South Africa's "Right Wing"'s world view differs radically from mine and in my opinion if their ideas are implemented it would lead to disaster. Fortunately for us they have negligible clout

Re: [FRIAM] Moral collapse and state failure

2021-08-10 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
t; >> -and-rise-of-democracy > >> > >> I wonder what the essential factor is: do immoral presidents cause > >> the collapse of democracy in a country by undermining democratic > institutions or is it the other way round: the economy (and therefore the > country) is al

Re: [FRIAM] ivermectin, nope

2021-08-14 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I believe this study is most probably correct. Help me if I'm wrong. It proves that according to a specific protocol, there are no benefits against covid in using ivermectin. Does that mean that there are no other prophylaxis protocols that include ivermectin that do give benefits? I'd like to m

Re: [FRIAM] ivermectin, nope

2021-08-14 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
> > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Saturday, August 14, 2021 12:09 PM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < >

Re: [FRIAM] ivermectin, nope

2021-08-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
gt; > > > N > > > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Sunday, August 15, 2021 2:28 AM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Co

Re: [FRIAM] ivermectin, nope

2021-08-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
RNA viruses. In vivo studies of animal models revealed a >>>> broad range of antiviral effects of ivermectin, however, clinical trials >>>> are necessary to appraise the potential efficacy of ivermectin in clinical >>>> setting >>>> >>> >>>

[FRIAM] AI creates new inventions

2021-08-19 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
"At first glance, a recently granted South African patent relating to a “food container based on fractal geometry” seems fairly mundane. The innovation in question involves interlocking food containers that are easy for robots to grasp and stack. On closer inspection, the patent is anything but mu

Re: [FRIAM] "ZAMM"

2021-08-19 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
It's available on Amazon as paperback, hardcover and ebook: https://www.amazon.com/Zen-Art-Motorcycle-Maintenance-Anniversary-ebook/dp/B0063HC7EQ/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=zen+and+the+art+of+motorcycle+maintenance&qid=1629378375&s=digital-text&sr=1-1 I read the book eons ago and I remember very

Re: [FRIAM] Eternal questions

2021-08-23 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
The creators of the Aibo robot dog say it has ‘real emotions and instinct’. This is obviously not true, it's just an illusion. But then, according to Daniel Dennett, human consciousness is just an illusion. https://ase.tufts.edu/cogstud/dennett/papers/illusionism.pdf On Mon, 23 Aug 2021 at 09:18,

Re: [FRIAM] Eternal questions

2021-08-24 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
For anybody interested in a new revolutionary version of how the brain works, there is a very interesting podcast where Lex Fridman interviews the neuroscientist Jeff Hawkins. Jeff reckons there are thousands of similar structures in our brain, each one of these with a model of the world making pre

Re: [FRIAM] On the: RLY!? side

2021-08-25 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Gillian, My take on your question of how this thinking, of being an antivaxer, works? For me, the key lies in understanding human behavior. I know I'm waltzing on very thin ice because there are others in this group who have already forgotten what I still have to learn about human behavior , so I

Re: [FRIAM] On the: RLY!? side

2021-08-26 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Sarbajit, When covid started I was very worried about India with it's high population density. But according to https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries the deaths/1M population in India is 313. In the USA, for example, the figure is 1950 deaths/1M population. Further, according to ht

Re: [FRIAM] On the: RLY!? side

2021-08-26 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
opulated state >> because the regular doctors had either fled or died of COVID. He expired >> 2 months ago, of COVID, while still in the saddle attending patients. >> >> Sarbajit >> >> On Thu, Aug 26, 2021 at 12:31 PM Pieter Steenekamp < >> piet...@randcontrol

Re: [FRIAM] "All [persons] are created equal"

2021-08-27 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
If you just look at the world then "all [persons] are created equal" is just nonsense. What I like to focus on is what can we as a society do, and what can I personally do to move towards making all more equal? It's obviously not practical to expect heaven on earth, but IMO the current state of ine

Re: [FRIAM] "All [persons] are created equal"

2021-08-27 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ngs are created equal, let alone all "men." (sic) But the > unfounded conviction that this must be 'true' demands the invention of myth > to explain why it is not. And those myths are, in my opinion, harmful and > divisive. > > > > I agree with Pieter (and p

Re: [FRIAM] "All [persons] are created equal"

2021-08-27 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
the life that you are leading. The way you talk sounds a bit > like the way we talk about “essential” workers here. > > > > N > > > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam

Re: [FRIAM] "All [persons] are created equal"

2021-08-27 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
at 20:28, wrote: > > Pieter, > > > > If, in your ideal world, their lives are “decent, ” how would you > characterize the life that you are leading. The way you talk sounds a bit > like the way we talk about “essential” workers here. > > > > N > > > > Nick T

Re: [FRIAM] "All [persons] are created equal"

2021-08-29 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
And the elephant in the room is (.. sound of drums please ..) : "All [groups] are created equal" On Sun, 29 Aug 2021 at 03:21, wrote: > Hi, Eric, > > Again, you appear to confound similarity with equality. *Ex hypothesi* > and NOT because I am a communist, let us invent a world in which we eac

Re: [FRIAM] Can empirical discoveries be mathematical?

2021-09-03 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Nick, I quote from https://www.britannica.com/science/scientific-theory "In attempting to explain objects and events, the scientist employs (1) careful observation or experiments, (2) reports of regularities, and (3) systematic explanatory schemes (theories). The statements of regularities, if acc

Re: [FRIAM] Can empirical discoveries be mathematical?

2021-09-03 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
It could be both. If you just describe it in terms of t-shirts then it is an empirical scientific law. You can claim to have discovered an empirical scientific law If you now express it in mathematical terms, and the mathematical community accepts it as true, then it is then a mathematical axiom.

Re: [FRIAM] Can empirical discoveries be mathematical?

2021-09-03 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
nclusion, I had to invoke >> the logical form, induction: this man is un-married, this man is a >> batchelor, all batchelors are unmarried. You might have arrived at the >> same conclusion deductively (i.e., mathematically). >> >> >> >> Nick Thompson

[FRIAM] Could this possibly be true?

2021-09-14 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
In the Phizer report "Six Month Safety and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine" ( https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.28.21261159v1.full.pdf) , I picked up the following: "During the blinded, controlled period, 15 BNT162b2 and 14 placebo recipients died" Does this mean the

Re: [FRIAM] Could this possibly be true?

2021-09-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ny of these statistics as evidence for a > causation question. > > I will hope that nothing I have said above is wildly wrong, but of course > we should look for a better source than me, > > Eric > > > On Sep 15, 2021, at 3:24 PM, Pieter Steenekamp > wrote

Re: [FRIAM] "Layers of the atmosphere do not mix.""

2021-09-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Related: Why the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans Don't Mix: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U93QRMcQU5Y On Wed, 15 Sept 2021 at 17:08, wrote: > > https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 > > Notice how the layers slide over one another in TX this morning,

Re: [FRIAM] Could this possibly be true?

2021-09-16 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
can generate > # let's stack up two sets of simulations, call the top one 'treatment' and > the bottom one 'control' > # treatment and control are being generated by the exact same model, > # but their mutual relation is bouncing all over the place. > # That treat

Re: [FRIAM] Could this possibly be true?

2021-09-16 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
gt;> Oh I am so glad. So reassuring*. >> >> >> >> You guys are scaring the total crap out of us citizens. >> >> >> >> N >> >> >> >> PS to Frank. There’s lot’s of irony in Pittsburgh. I count on you to >> recognize it. &g

Re: [FRIAM] Could this possibly be true?

2021-09-16 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
On Behalf Of *Roger Critchlow > *Sent:* Thursday, September 16, 2021 12:16 PM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Could this possibly be true? > > > > sum(reasons_for_death) != number_of_deaths, and Deat

Re: [FRIAM] ivermectin

2021-09-23 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Well, I for one am always very suspicious of what my doctor tells me. It's not that I'm against modern medicine, IMO they do wonders, but are their interests always aligned 100% with mine as a patient? Me thinketh not, modern medicine is money-driven.I go to the doctor for advice, but ultimately I

Re: [FRIAM] ivermectin

2021-09-23 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
-right-conspiracy-theories-anti-vaxxers-power > > "The notion of the 'sovereign body', untainted by chemical contamination, > has begun to fuse with the fear that a shadowy cabal is trying to deprive > us of autonomy." > > On 9/23/21 5:24 AM, Pieter Steenekamp wr

Re: [FRIAM] ivermectin

2021-09-25 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
old the true innovation. > > Very hard for me to understand. > > Eric > > > On Sep 24, 2021, at 1:57 AM, uǝlƃ ☤>$ wrote: > > > https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.theguardian.com%2fcommentisfree%2f2021%2fsep%2f22%2fleftwingers-far-right-conspiracy

[FRIAM] My plan to disrupt education

2021-10-27 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
The public education system in South Africa is largely broken. For those who can afford it, we have very good schools, but the majority cannot and the education options for them are bleak. I plan to do something about it. This is my second attempt. About three years ago I started a school as a pr

Re: [FRIAM] My plan to disrupt education

2021-10-29 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
nts, how do you > plan to handle some in-group/tribal influences like the draw some of our > poor get towards gang membership or even working the family farm? > > > On 10/27/21 11:25 AM, Pieter Steenekamp wrote: > > The public education system in South Africa is largely broken

Re: [FRIAM] My plan to disrupt education

2021-10-29 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
cepted to OOPSLA and Agile both > conferences had a 90+ percent rejection rate). Every student was place in > jobs, often before graduation and often with the companies who gave us > apprenticeship projects. > > > > The preceding is just bragging, but I am very proud of what we did.

Re: [FRIAM] FW: Mathematical Inquiry

2019-08-26 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
My approach would be as follows: a) Start with MS Excel. It is very simple to use and help is very widely available. One can very easily draw very nice curves and dependent on what intuition comes out of observing the curves fit different simple models to the data and again draw curves of the model

Re: [FRIAM] Optimization problem

2019-09-20 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Two possible approaches are: a) Solve the problem yourself. Use one or a combination of standard algorithms ( eg you mentioned linear programming and greedy algorithms, there are many more of course) and/or your own custom algorithm. If you wish to go this route and want to learn about the subject,

Re: [FRIAM] Important New Climate Study

2020-01-06 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
o spend their money most effectively." By all means, include climate change as a risk, it undoubtedly is , but IMO it's wise to keep a balance about other existential risks too, and do proper cost and benefits analyses for different risks and actions. Pieter Steenekamp Mossel Bay, South

Re: [FRIAM] Important New Climate Study

2020-01-07 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
fossil fuels causing global warming. What do I miss? On Tue, 7 Jan 2020 at 20:06, Merle Lefkoff wrote: > For you, Pieter: https://twitter.com/i/status/1211631520760221696 > > On Mon, Jan 6, 2020 at 11:21 PM Pieter Steenekamp < > piet...@randcontrols.co.za> wrote: > >>

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-20 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Eric asked for someone with a comprehensive knowledge of climate science and I do not put my name in the hat. But I do have some comprehension of the basic science and the big picture. But like all humans I have biases and very far from having a comprehensive knowledge of the literature nor the sci

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-21 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
like this many million > years ago. > > And the most powerful country of the world has a president who ignores all > of it and considers himself a very stable genius. Sean Hannity gets 36 > Million Dollar (!) a year from Fox News to praise him. Isn't it depressing? > > -Jochen

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-21 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
d countries to > continue burning fossils ... to which it's a bit of an ethical burden for > the wealthy to mitigate that, as well as stop burning fossils ourselves. > > Given this, your fragile chain of reasoning becomes irrelevant, even *if* > it stays intact after all's sai

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-22 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Yep, I would go for this one. IMO we are involved in a collective process where communication, reason, and action are indeed possible and flourishing. Sure there are risks, climate change being one but not the only one. Humanity is still very fragile and vulnerable to existential risks like climate

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-22 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
The distribution of a small number of big ones and very large number small ones (like in a scale free network with a power law distribution) is an emerging property of a complex system where agents interact with each other. I don’t think human intellect distribution falls in this category. My guess

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-22 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ue our progress." You might argue that it's not going to hold in the future, but I think you're on shaky ground to argue we are in trouble now. Pieter On Wed, 22 Jan 2020 at 17:32, Merle Lefkoff wrote: > This is the hubris that has got us into so much trouble! > >

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-22 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
gt; > Clark University > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Wednesday, January 22, 2020 8:56 AM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group &l

Re: [FRIAM] Murdoch and Trump

2020-01-22 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
..@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Wednesday, January 22, 2020 11:06 AM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> > *Subj

Re: [FRIAM] Your worst nightmare

2020-01-23 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
To put a Popper inspired philosophy of science-hat on this topic. The key is in the falsification and good explanations process. Conjectures form in a human's mind without consciously knowing where it comes from. To try to use introspection to understand the roots of the conjecture is fruitless. A

Re: [FRIAM] Abduction and Introspection

2020-01-25 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I would go along with Johsua Epstein's "if you did not grow it you did not explain it". Keep in mind that this motto applies to problems involving emergence. So what I'm saying is that it's in many cases futile to apply logic to reasoning to find answers - and I refer to the emergent properties of

Re: [FRIAM] The fundamental theory of physics

2020-04-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I need to study it more to give my opinion on it, but some general comments: a) I expect the mainstream physics community will reject it. As a start I noticed Sabine Hossenfelder retweeted a "bullshit"-tweet about it. b) I'm a big fan of Stephen Wolfram and in general have confidence in his work.

[FRIAM] Deep learning training material

2023-01-05 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Thanks to the kind support of OpenAI's chatGPT, I am in the process of gathering materials for a comprehensive and hands-on deep learning workshop. Although it is still a work in progress, I welcome any interested parties to take a look and provide their valuable input. Thank you! You can get it f

Re: [FRIAM] more bullsh¡t

2023-01-05 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
As a native of South Africa, I have personally witnessed the shortcomings of both our public primary and secondary education systems and the financial barriers that prevent many from accessing private schools. In response, I have dedicated the past year to establishing a private institution that is

Re: [FRIAM] Sorting Algorithm? AI? Identifying "types" within data

2023-01-06 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I asked https://chat.openai.com/chat and here is the conversation: *Pieter Steenekamp* can you suggest a solution for the following problem "I'm hoping someone here could help out. Let's imagine I had some data where each row was a person's career. We could list major e

Re: [FRIAM] more bullsh¡t

2023-01-06 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
training schedule for a tool meant to do just that, which could be a bit > different from the ad hoc training that is probably first-gen of these > tools. > > Eric > > On Jan 6, 2023, at 12:59 AM, Pieter Steenekamp > wrote: > > As a native of South Africa, I have personal

Re: [FRIAM] new thermal tech

2023-01-06 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I am somewhat puzzled by the discussion surrounding the efficiency of heat pumps in relation to the laws of thermodynamics. If my understanding is correct, the salient question being raised is whether it is possible for a heat pump to transfer 3 to 4 kW of heat using only 1 kW of electricity, which

Re: [FRIAM] Sorting Algorithm? AI? Identifying "types" within data

2023-01-07 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ange the categorical data > into something more quantitative, but doing so would bake in my assumptions > about how the categories should be determined. > > > > On Sat, Jan 7, 2023 at 1:32 AM Pieter Steenekamp < > piet...@randcontrols.co.za> wrote: > >> I asked

Re: [FRIAM] Deep learning training material

2023-01-07 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
inarily impressive results, I decided I should learn more >about it. I haven't found any really good material. If you are interested, >I'd be more than happy to work with you on developing some introductory >Deep Learning material. > > -- Russ Abbott > Pro

Re: [FRIAM] Deep learning training material

2023-01-09 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
preliminary class. Assume your audience knows how to use Python and focus >> on Deep Learning. Given that, there is only a minimal amount of information >> about Deep Learning in the write-up. If I were to attend the workshop and >> thought I would be learning about Deep Learni

Re: [FRIAM] Deep learning training material

2023-01-09 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
gt; textiles... essentially trying to recognize similarities in the "hand" of > the artisans involved. > > > On 1/9/23 1:29 AM, Pieter Steenekamp wrote: > > @Russ, > > a) I appreciate the suggestion to include a simple neural network that can > make predictions

Re: [FRIAM] Deep learning training material

2023-01-13 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ing > number of artifacts coming in. At some point I can imagine an automated > classification system taking over much of the "mundane" aspects of this > work... like a self-driving car that at least provides collision > avoidance and lane following... > > > On 1

Re: [FRIAM] NickC channels DaveW

2023-01-18 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I totally agree that realizable behavior is what matters. The elephant in the room is whether AI (and robotics of course) will (not to replace but to) be able to do better than humans in all respects, including come up with creative solutions to not only the world's most pressing problems but also

Re: [FRIAM] NickC channels DaveW

2023-01-19 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
are some hidden elements to all that techno-optimism. E.g. > > https://nitter.cz/billyperrigo/status/1615682180201447425#m > > On 1/18/23 00:40, Pieter Steenekamp wrote: > > I totally agree that realizable behavior is what matters. > > > > The elephant in the room is whether

[FRIAM] Request for Assistance with Agent Based Modeling

2023-01-31 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Dear all, I am writing to request your assistance in my efforts to advise the South African Minister of Public Enterprises, Pravin Ghordan, on the use of agent-based modeling (ABM) as a decision support system. Eskom is the main supplier of electricity in South Africa and it has been facing a num

Re: [FRIAM] journalists

2020-05-30 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I'm not a journalist, but offer my opinion in any case: a) Accoriding to Forbes https://www.forbes.com/sites/federicoguerrini/2020/05/30/dozens-of-msn-journalists-to-be-replaced-by-robots/#14c9ff97333e , Microsoft does not produce their own stories, but uses editors to select and adapt stories fro

Re: [FRIAM] journalists

2020-06-03 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
n - t...@jtjohnson.com > Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA > 505.577.6482(c)505.473.9646(h) > *NM Foundation for Open Government* <http://nmfog.org> > *Check out It's The People's Data > <https://www.faceb

Re: [FRIAM] journalists

2020-06-04 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
s were differently designed, and equipped with enough sensors, etc. we > could get along with a lot fewer repair people. > > -- Russ Abbott > Professor, Computer Science > California State University, Los Angeles > > > On Wed, Jun 3, 2020 at 9:59 PM Pieter Steenekamp < >

Re: [FRIAM] OpenAI API

2020-06-14 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
There is a web application linked to this API. https://talktotransformer.com/ It's a fun "toy" and I enjoy it. You type in the start of a sentence and it completes it for you. For example, I typed "It's a dark night", and it returned the following: and you're been sleeping by the window of my hea

Re: [FRIAM] freewill gedankenexperiment

2020-06-17 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Dave, I love your scenario. Let me build on it. After you have answered your questions and came to a conclusion add the following: With the current state of AI, a computer can reasonably easily do your tasks, maybe better? So get an AI to dial your knobs. Does this AI have free will and "meaning"

Re: [FRIAM] President tested positive for virus

2020-10-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
The outcome of this might be some perceived indication of the efficacy of the hydroxychloroquine treatment. I'm not saying a sample size of one has any scientific validity, but sometimes perceptions are more important than reality. The elephant in the room is how much will the severity of his symp

Re: [FRIAM] Message to the non-posting 95%

2021-02-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
d and then takes appropriate action) and it does not give me much free time. Regards, Pieter Steenekamp Mossel Bay, South Africa On Wed, 27 Jan 2021 at 04:58, wrote: > Dear non-bloviators, > > > > Some of us bloviators have suddenly woken to the realization that we have > no i

Re: [FRIAM] Message to the non-posting 95%

2021-02-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
t; stephen.gue...@simtable.com > CEO, Simtable http://www.simtable.com > 1600 Lena St #D1, Santa Fe, NM 87505 > office: (505)995-0206 mobile: (505)577-5828 > twitter: @simtable > z <http://zoom.com/j/5055775828>oom.simtable.com > > > On Tue, Feb 2, 2021 at 12:21 PM Piete

Re: [FRIAM] mathematics and politics

2021-02-03 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
A direct quote from Reddit: "...to ensure a future research identity in AI, computational modelling, digitalisation and data science requires ceasing research in Pure Mathematics in order to invest and extend activities in these areas" In an ideal world no compromises are required. In the real wor

Re: [FRIAM] What is Wealth for?

2021-03-12 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
"what is Wealth for?" For now I'm addressing material wealth only. Wealth is simply a vehicle to accomplish delayed gratification. You work and innovate to produce goods and deliver services and sell it for money. If you spend it all immediately then you don't create wealth and also don't get del

Re: [FRIAM] What is Wealth for?

2021-03-18 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Let me try a definition of wealth: Wealth is that what makes you happy. Using this definition we get the following: For the former Bhutan it could have been inner peace (or whatever made him Happy, I don't understand his culture). For Bill Gates it could be spending his billions to make the worl

Re: [FRIAM] What is Wealth for?

2021-03-19 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ney value or an exchangeable value > b : all material objects that have economic utility especially : the stock > of useful goods having economic value in existence at any one time national > wealth > 4 obsolete : weal, welfare > > > On 3/18/21 9:42 PM, Pieter Steenekamp wrote: &

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
>From a strict scientific perspective I accept that we don't have free will. I don't argue that we have free will. I accept, and I quote from the article quoted above: "the brain is a physical system like any other, and we have no more will to operate it in a particular way than we will our heart t

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
; Just because we don't, as a general rule, does not mean we cannot. > > > > Not saying anything in this post is an argument for free will — just that > the quoted argument against free will is fatally flawed. > > > > davewest > > > > > > > > On Fri

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Yes, and? Self-supervised deep learning self-learns how to optimize a utility function. Just a bag of silica. The fact that I learn how to behave to keep out of jail says exactly nothing about free will. On Fri, 2 Apr 2021 at 18:33, Marcus Daniels wrote: > Yes, law enforcement is a like a chemic

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
iam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Friday, April 2, 2021 9:41 AM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group < > friam@redfish.com> > *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic > > > > Yes, and? > Self-supervised deep learning self-lear

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ns are more interoceptive and mutally intertwined than others. A > self-driving Tesla might be more likely to have free will than a CD player. > > On 4/2/21 10:39 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote: > > More functions. Keep turning over the rocks and tell me when you find > magic. >

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-02 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I agree fully. If something is inscrutable it might exhibit free will. But what happens in our brains is certainly scrutable. Maybe not yet with current technology, but how can it be inscrutable in principle? In principle we know that neurons are firing and communicate with other neurons using syna

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-05 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
uǝlƃ wrote " I'm more focused on the idea that humans might be able to do things we don't (yet) know how to do in computation" Let me try and give an example: Instead of humans, let's use birds. Then I present to you flocking, nobody knows the algorithm for flocking and we may never know it. Indi

Re: [FRIAM] Free Will in the Atlantic

2021-04-07 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
>From a very high altitude perspective, humans are either: a) the atoms in our bodies and behavior is the result of complexity that emerges from the interaction of all the different physical components in our body. To quote Yoshua Epstein "if you haven't grown it, you haven't explained it" or b) th

Re: [FRIAM] murder offsets

2021-04-14 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Yes, both bitcoin and gold mining are very expensive. Gold mines go down 2 miles down to mine rock that contains 5 gram gold per tonne of rock, extract the gold in a series of very complicated processes to take it to Fort Knox and store it deep underground so it can't be stolen. Bitcoin uses large

Re: [FRIAM] murder offsets

2021-04-14 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
I am a strong supporter of Bitcoin. Sure there are negatives, it's not all just positive. There also are risks, Bitcoin could lose all it's value. The main reason why I support it is because it's probably one of the best ways to store value. With all the crazy printing of fiat currencies all around

Re: [FRIAM] murder offsets

2021-04-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
buy arbitrary stuff, but to encourage others to do work ... like > [cough] ... write poetry or brew beer. > > On April 14, 2021 2:49:55 PM PDT, Pieter Steenekamp < > piet...@randcontrols.co.za> wrote: > >I am a strong supporter of Bitcoin. Sure there are negatives, it&#

Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

2021-04-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
Yeah, just like we were seriously running out of stuff in 1980 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon%E2%80%93Ehrlich_wager But of course, it's different this time around On Thu, 15 Apr 2021 at 19:41, Merle Lefkoff wrote: > Nick, I think we have an energy supply problem. We don't have enough > stu

Re: [FRIAM] murder offsets

2021-04-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
ow) > > I know a lot of 'survivalists' and none of them would consider anything > other than than a Krugerrand under the mattress as a realistic hedge > against disaster. > > davew > > > > > On Thu, Apr 15, 2021, at 2:52 AM, Pieter Steenekamp wrote: > &

Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

2021-04-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
, the relation between the > potential rooftop gain and the total energy needs of a place like Santa Fe? > > > > N > > > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *P

Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

2021-04-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
would I not > expect copper prices to be rising? > > > > Which of my assumptions is wrong. > > > > Or is it your expectation that we will develop a plastic with the > conductive properties of copper? > > > > > > > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks..

Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

2021-04-15 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
not >> expect copper prices to be rising? >> >> >> >> Which of my assumptions is wrong. >> >> >> >> Or is it your expectation that we will develop a plastic with the >> conductive properties of copper? >> >> >> >

Re: [FRIAM] A Theory of (Almost) Everything - IEEE Spectrum

2021-04-16 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
> Nick > > > > Nick Thompson > > thompnicks...@gmail.com > > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > > > > *From:* Friam *On Behalf Of *Pieter Steenekamp > *Sent:* Thursday, April 15, 2021 1:44 PM > *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Gro

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