Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

What troubles me in all this is the (coarse) granularity. Whole state stay-at-home orders deny the reality that many states are diverse, geographically, demographically, etc. But I suppose it's par for the course because our coarse grain misgovernance shows up everywhere, not only in the respon

[FRIAM] Fwd: How you can use data to fight COVID-19

Perhaps of interest. TJ -- Forwarded message - From: Research from data.world Date: Wed, Apr 8, 2020, 7:24 AM Subject: How you can use data to fight COVID-19 To: data.world and the Associated Press will show you how people all over the globe are using data to fight COVID-19. [i

[FRIAM] Fwd: Cybersecurity Updates

Carnegie Mellon on Zoom security. George Duncan Emeritus Professor of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University georgeduncanart.com See posts on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram Land: (505) 983-6895 Mobile: (505) 469-4671 My art theme: Dynamic exposition of the tension between matrix order and lumin

[FRIAM] Complexity and Climate from IAS/Amsterdam via SFI

As we stagger under *just one* of our /Endogenous Existential Threats/, the/Overarching Jackpot of Climate Crisis/ continues... Roland Kupers of IAS/UofAmsterdam SFI Presentation https://youtu.be/uee-9Sd6WMw Book https://www.hup

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

Hi, Eric Taiwan BETTER than China!? That’s something, isn’t it? Isn’t there some real hope in that? Where do I go to learn in detail about Taiwan’s response. Nick Nicholas Thompson Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology Clark University thompnicks...@gmail.com

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

Aha! Found it: Why Germany's Coronavirus Death Rate Is Far Lower Than In Other Countries https://www.npr.org/2020/03/25/820595489/why-germanys-coronavirus-death-rate-is-far-lower-than-in-other-countries So, I suppose the (hypothetical) causal flow goes something like: federated system allows for

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

Glen - I appreciate the gist of your thinking here...  I suppose the overarching nature of my own is toward the *diversity* of the federated subunits yielding a broader search-strategy for optimal (satisficing?) response-strategies.   The net result is sub-optimal in terms of minimizing suffering

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

While I sympathize with the *idea* of diversity as a way to maintain a kind of "bottom floor" agility, sacrificing some higher optimal, but probably fragile, narrower solution set, the question devolves (again) to what the normals will do. I know you're not an ivory tower type. But I think your

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

Friammers, Jim Girard and I have been having a conversation about the period between the bent curve and the vaccine. His responses have been fascinating, but in some particulars, are more technical than this old rejected English major can parse. I therefore wanted you all to get the benefi

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

My guess would be parka, hood, glasses, 6' distance, and limited trips will go first because they have very limited effect. If you doubt masks have an effect, then these should be so doubtful as to be silly. But sanitation and aerosol/spittle measures have clear support. The conversation you f

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

Nick, hi, Ah, the sieve of my head. As in my technical work, I am browsing a variety of stuff, remembering conclusions I find interesting, but not keeping good track of sources. Here is what I can provide off-the-cuff, and a tiny bit on searching. In Asia, the four very good responses have b

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

Also maybe of interest, and with more detail, from JAMA: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762689?utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=content-shareicons&utm_content=article_engagement&utm_medium=social&utm_term=030620#.XmISXNOJbgY.twitter

[FRIAM] Coronavirus New Mexico numbers.xlsx

Friammers, esp local congregation: Third day of only 2 new cases in Santa Fe County; lowest three day average since the 24th of march; doubling time of new cases now up to ten days. NM cases rising more sharply: doubling time now at 5+ days. Nick Coronavirus New Mexico numbers

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

D.E Smith, I have no idea what *feed the morlocks eloi* refers to, but I do love an easter egg, so thanks! Jonathan Zingale ..-. . . -.. / - . / -- --- .-. .-.. --- -.-. -.- ... / . .-.. --- .. FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam unsu

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

I think there are two issues...  what your risk of becoming infected and what is your contribution to the larger risk of infecting others.  The first is linear with the number of people you encounter, the percentage of the population currently infected and the amount of de-coupling your various mea

Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState

ah, sneaky. It's in the footer of all friam posts. Steve, I am now looking in your direction. *The Time Machine*, huh. .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... . ... FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

Steve? I like the very specific reflections on travel timing at the bottom of what is below. I've lost track entirely of whose reflections they were, but I am grateful for them. Nick Nicholas Thompson Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology Clark University thompnicks...@gmail.com htt

[FRIAM] COVID-19

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america This analysis seems stunningly optimistic, given that by their own account the social distancing in the US has been lame by comparison with, say, France, which is having a heluva time. >From their FAQ/; Will we need social distancing unti