SG
I found Meyers' talks from the Fall which preceded (presaged?) this and
thought you had just linked those! I'm glad to see our "big siblings on
the hill" are on this with full attention.
Did anyone else watch this 2 hour presentation? I'm working my way
through it now in the background.
SS
Steve,
Perhaps we might talk about this on Friday. I guess the questions are, “Can
we eliminate community transfer?” and, if so, “At what level of social
distancing do we have to maintain in order to make sure that a program of
testing, vigorous contact tracing and isolation is assured?”
Wisconsin's primary is underway despite the governor's attempt to postpone
it. People in the (long!) lines are standing 6 feet apart more or less.
---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM
On Tue, Apr 7, 2020, 10:51 AM wrote:
> Steve,
>
>
>
> Perha
2 new cases in Santa Fe; doubling time @ 9 days; lowest three Day average
(3.7) since March 25th, I think. Assuming that it takes 3 weeks for each
case to resolve, this was the first day that number of new cases was
balanced by number of resolved cases. ? But some mall stores open and a
lot of
> Steve,
>
>
>
> Perhaps we might talk about this on Friday. I guess the questions are,
>
> “Can we eliminate community transfer?”
>
By this, I assume you mean the "crypto" transfer where the *source* of
infection isn't recognized even in retrospect?
The conventional/modeling wisdom is keep
I've shared an item with you:
FRIAM Regular Session 9 a
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Cgu8mvXeGOCyVG2fRjwY646nv1D7n4Zl6hFhWkWkXf0/edit?usp=sharing&ts=5e8d1685
It's not an attachment -- it's stored online. To open this item, just click
the link above.
Alert for Friday's convocation. Fe
>> and, if so, “At what level of social distancing do we have to
>> maintain in order to make sure that a program of testing, vigorous
>> contact tracing and isolation is assured?”
>>
> I would claim that the *quality* of social distancing is very
> important... but those "qualities" haven't been
Steve (Smith),
I have always assumed that “community transmission” is one of those bullshit
terms that refers to our own ignorance. If we were unable to find out how it
got transmitted then it was an instance of “community transmission”. Am I
wrong about that?
So, community transmis
Nick -
I wrote (yet) another long-winded answer but am trying to give you the
most succinct version I can:
I think you are nearly correct.
First: Yes, "community transmission" is somewhat another name for our
ignorance... but it is a critical threshold. As soon as you have one
case you don't k
Steve,
I like your long wind.
I am grateful for your attempt to imagine a world in the interim between the
wave and the vaccine.
Has china actually eliminated the virus from the population and the are merely
putting out sparks that have blown in from other places?
Nick
> Steve,
>
>
>
> I like your long wind.
>
>
>
> I am grateful for your attempt to imagine a world in the interim
> between the wave and the vaccine.
>
In the world pre-vaccine (including among wild animal populations), the
only thing keeping a disease from extincting a population IS a
combina
> Has china actually eliminated the virus from the population and the are
> merely putting out sparks that have blown in from other places?
I would bet very high odds that is not the case.
They have probably greatly reduced the caseload. Friends there say they are
rebuilding daily activities
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