A even simpler explanation is that your initial pick has a 1/3 chance of
winning. Nothing has changed as far as that door is concerned. Thus, with host
removing one of the other two doors, the probability of winning must be 2/3.
These word problems which involve a priori vs a posteriori probabi
On Wed, Aug 9, 2023 at 9:19 PM Eric Smith wrote:
> Wow. Old terminator. New terminator
>
Which one works for Skynet? The fight scene:
https://youtu.be/TVA4-SNxErc?t=41
-. --- - / ...- .- .-.. .. -.. / -- --- .-. ... . / -.-. --- -.. .
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Fridays 9a-12p
Wow. Old terminator. New terminator.
> On Aug 10, 2023, at 12:15 PM, Stephen Guerin
> wrote:
>
> I think this might be a more concise explanation:
>
> Switching wins if you initially pick a goat (2/3 chance) and loses if you
> pick the car (1/3 chance), so the win probability with switching
I think this might be a more concise explanation:
Switching wins if you initially pick a goat (2/3 chance) and loses if you
pick the car (1/3 chance), so the win probability with switching is 2/3.
___
stephen.gue...@simtable.com
