Re: [agi] Re: Safety Via Wolpert-Constrained ML

2025-01-10 Thread Matt Mahoney
On Fri, Jan 10, 2025, 9:30 AM James Bowery wrote: > > > On Fri, Jan 10, 2025 at 8:12 AM James Bowery wrote: > >> Percent of GDP is the wrong metric. The right metric is Total Fertility >> Rate. TFR is driven more by median income per household. But even thenFor >> example, the counties around

Re: [agi] Re: Safety Via Wolpert-Constrained ML

2025-01-10 Thread James Bowery
Yes I've heard it all before, Matt. That's why I called bringing up Warren's video a "palaver". But you keep palavering as though you know what macrosocial cause and effect is and that nothing can be done. Yes there is something that can be done: Stop palavering and start doing algorithmic info

Re: [agi] Re: Safety Via Wolpert-Constrained ML

2025-01-10 Thread James Bowery
On Fri, Jan 10, 2025 at 8:12 AM James Bowery wrote: > Percent of GDP is the wrong metric. The right metric is Total Fertility > Rate. TFR is driven more by median income per household. But even thenFor > example, the counties around Washington DC and even then the calculation of > median incom

Re: [agi] Re: Safety Via Wolpert-Constrained ML

2025-01-10 Thread James Bowery
The approach I'm taking is in response to the failure of The Great And The Good to pay appropriate attention to Hume's Guillotine so as to discipline macrosociology. You rightly point out that there are more immediate concerns -- macrosocial concerns -