Re: The End-To-End Internet (was Re: Blocking MX query)

2012-09-08 Thread Rich Kulawiec
On Wed, Sep 05, 2012 at 02:15:07PM -0700, Joe St Sauver wrote:
> 2) The Spamhaus CBL tracks the level of bot spam currently seen,
> including breaking out statistics by a number of factors.
> 
> 3) Currently, the US, where port 25 filtering is routinely deployed by
> most large ISPs, is ranked 158th among countries when you consider botted
> users on a per capita basis: http://cbl.abuseat.org/countrypercapita.html
> 
> 4) While that's not perfect (after all, there are still at least 133,811 
> listings for the US), on a PER-CAPITA basis, it's not bad -- that's just 
> ~0.055% of US Internet users that are infected, relative to some countries 
> where the rate of detected infection (based on spam emission) may be 4 to
> 5% or more.

I don't believe those numbers say that last.  I *wish* those numbers said
that, but I don't think they do.  Here's why.

A. "bot spam seen" (by whatever number of sensors are deployed) is
conditional on bot spam making it out of its local network and onto
some other network where is sensor exists.  Clearly, port 25 blocking
will dramatically curtail that.  Thus, spam is still being generated
by those systems: it's just not getting anywhere.

B. Spam is not the only form of abuse generated by bots.  Some participate
in DDoS attacks, some host illicit web sites, some harvest addresses,
the list is endless.  Any sensor which only looks for spam arriving
via SMTP on port 25 will miss all those.

C. Some bots engage in secondary support activities (e.g., hosting
DNS for spammer domains) which is not intrinsicly abusive, but is
certainly abusive in context.  Most of this will be missed by most
of everything and everyone.

D. Some bots do nothing -- that is, nothing overtly recognizable
by external sensors of any kind at any location.  They're either
harvesting local data or perhaps they're simply being held in reserve,
a practice our adversaries adopted quite early on.

Thus we can't use anybody's numbers for observed bot-generated spam
to estimate infection rates -- other than to set a lower bound on them.
The upper bound can be, and like likely is, MUCH higher.  Doubly so
because there is abolutely no reason of any kind to think that infection
rates of US-based hosts significantly differ from global norms.

More broadly, the per-nation rates are interesting but probably
unimportant: this is a global problem, so even if country X solved
it (for a useful value of "solved") it would matter little.  I think
at this point any estimate of bot population under 200M should be
laughed out of the room, and that (just as it has for a decade)
it continues to  monotonically increase.

---rsk




Re: "Circuit of the americas" aka COTA

2012-09-08 Thread Peter Losher
On Aug 29, 2012, at 5:00 PM, Chris McDonald  wrote:

> Trendy name for the new racetrack/event venue outside austin.
> 
> Does anyone know how one might get connectivity there? I figure there
> must be a few folks here prepping the place for the upcoming formula
> 1.
> 
> The place seems to be a black hole to all the usual suspects.


Since AS6453 is the official connectivity/technology sponsor for FOM, I suspect 
they will be leasing some dark fiber to COTA for the F1 race.  Some of the F1 
teams have their own telecom sponsors (Vodafone McLaren, etc) which will be 
doing the same.  Don't know who would be pulling the actual fiber though...

BTW - I will be there for the race as well (went to all the USGP races at IMS) 
- perhaps a NANOG meetup may be in order?

Best Wishes - Peter
-- 
[ plos...@isc.org | Senior Operations Architect | ISC | PGP E8048D08 ]




RE: "Circuit of the americas" aka COTA

2012-09-08 Thread Tom Walsh - EWS
> Since AS6453 is the official connectivity/technology sponsor for FOM, I
> suspect they will be leasing some dark fiber to COTA for the F1 race.
> Some of the F1 teams have their own telecom sponsors (Vodafone McLaren,
> etc) which will be doing the same.  Don't know who would be pulling the
> actual fiber though...
> 

>From what I was told from talking to the on-site IT guy for Caterham, all
teams are provide an MPLS connection back to their respective factory. I
seem to recall was an insanely small connection for what is the "pinnacle of
motorsports"... something like 4mbit or so.

Admittedly this was input from only one team, and a "lower tier" team at
that. This was also last year (2011).

I remember being distinctly surprised at the relatively low amount of
bandwidth they were provided at the track.

Tom Walsh




Re: Are people still building SONET networks from scratch?

2012-09-08 Thread Måns Nilsson
Subject: Re: Are people still building SONET networks from scratch? Date: Fri, 
Sep 07, 2012 at 10:50:31PM +1000 Quoting Julien Goodwin 
(na...@studio442.com.au):
> 
> A few of the engineers at $DAYJOB still try and claim SONET is easier to
> troubleshoot, but that hasn't been my practical experience.
> 
> With ethernet it's something like:
> - Layer 1 - light levels (DoM on nearly everything)
> - Layer 1 - link pulse
> - Layer 2 - can I send frames
> 
> SONET it's, in practice:
> - Layer 1 - light levels (DoM on newer kit, SOL on older)
> - Layer 2 - Seemingly random collection of alarms
> - Layer 2 - Is PPP up?

Just the fact that BFD had to be reinvented shows that there is ample
reason to prefer the steady-train-of-frames-with-status of SONET/SDH over
perhaps-nobody-sent-a-packet-or-the-line-is-dead quagmire of Ethernet --
I have run pretty large (for sweden) networks over SDH (POS linecards on
top of waves, not a full SDH system) and essentially similar networks as
GE over waves, and I truly prefer the failure modes and analysis tools
in SDH to the guesswork and afterthought patches of alohanet.. 

Still, the stupid f€%&€/# that make prices for linecards made me go GE
instead of OC48 for the most recent deployment. In Sweden, both vendors
claim about 6 times as much, per megabit, for SDH line cards. 

This can't really make sense.
 
> As others have said doing a "diverse 1/10g ethernet" quote and a
> "protected SONET" quote may be worthwhile, and adding a 20% pad to the
> SONET one for staff training may also be perfectly justifiable.

Maybe training is more expensive (it takes some CPU to parse SLOF/SLOS
and PLOP etc) but it leads to lower OPEX since the "Maybe" factor is
essentially gone. Operationally it is quite worthwhile to say "I have
SLOS in my far end, which means somebody pulled a patch worngly in
your just terminated maintenance window." instead of "The line is dead,
can you please check something?" to your circuit provider.
 
Yeah, SDH and similar probably will die, but cheap aint good. Only. 
-- 
Måns Nilsson primary/secondary/besserwisser/machina
MN-1334-RIPE +46 705 989668
Is this going to involve RAW human ecstasy?


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Re: Are people still building SONET networks from scratch?

2012-09-08 Thread Jimmy Hess
On 9/8/12, Måns Nilsson  wrote:
> Subject: Re: Are people still building SONET networks from scratch? Date:
> Just the fact that BFD had to be reinvented shows that there is ample
> reason to prefer the steady-train-of-frames-with-status of SONET/SDH over
> perhaps-nobody-sent-a-packet-or-the-line-is-dead quagmire of Ethernet --

Not all Ethernet switching implementations are necessarily equal;
there are 802.3ah  OA&M and 802.1ag connectivity fault management /
Loopback (MAC ping) / Continuity Check Protocol / Link Trace.   (Which
aren't much use without management software, however.)

There  /are/  reasons to prefer SONET for certain networks or
applications; so it might (or might not)  be a reasonable requirement,
it just depends.

Price is not one of those reasons;  all the added complexity and use
of less common equipment has some major costs, not to mention risks,
involved if mixing many different service providers' products.  SONET
comes at a massive price premium per port and switching table entry on
hardware modules that are much more expensive than 10g switches,  and
providers often charge a big premium regardless...

Therefore; it is not the least bit surprising that a 10g wave would be
massively less expensive in many cases than an OC3 over a long
distance between point A and point B.


As I see it... if you are thinking of 1000 miles of dark fiber to
nowhere to support an OC3, then forget  the "wasted" capacity;   the
cost of all that dark fiber needed just for them should get added to
the customer's price quote for the OC3.

Same deal if instead you need an OC48 at various hops to actually
carry that OC3 and be able to end-to-end and tunnel the DCC bytes over
IP  or restrict equipment choices so you can achieve that D1-12 byte
transparency

--
-JH



Re: Are people still building SONET networks from scratch?

2012-09-08 Thread Måns Nilsson
Subject: Re: Are people still building SONET networks from scratch? Date: Sun, 
Sep 09, 2012 at 01:15:35AM -0500 Quoting Jimmy Hess (mysi...@gmail.com):
> On 9/8/12, Måns Nilsson  wrote:
> > Subject: Re: Are people still building SONET networks from scratch? Date:
> > Just the fact that BFD had to be reinvented shows that there is ample
> > reason to prefer the steady-train-of-frames-with-status of SONET/SDH over
> > perhaps-nobody-sent-a-packet-or-the-line-is-dead quagmire of Ethernet --
> 
> Not all Ethernet switching implementations are necessarily equal;
> there are 802.3ah  OA&M and 802.1ag connectivity fault management /
> Loopback (MAC ping) / Continuity Check Protocol / Link Trace.   (Which
> aren't much use without management software, however.)

Of course. 

> There  /are/  reasons to prefer SONET for certain networks or
> applications; so it might (or might not)  be a reasonable requirement,
> it just depends.

Yes. 

> Price is not one of those reasons;  all the added complexity and use
> of less common equipment has some major costs, not to mention risks,
> involved if mixing many different service providers' products.  SONET
> comes at a massive price premium per port and switching table entry on
> hardware modules that are much more expensive than 10g switches,  and
> providers often charge a big premium regardless...

Yes. The 6x difference I alluded to was a comparison of line cards for
OC192 and 10GE on major league routers, like CRS or T-series. Most of
the bits are the same, yet the price \delta is insane.

> Therefore; it is not the least bit surprising that a 10g wave would be
> massively less expensive in many cases than an OC3 over a long
> distance between point A and point B.

Especially since it might be possible to get it provisioneed e2e. 
 
> As I see it... if you are thinking of 1000 miles of dark fiber to
> nowhere to support an OC3, then forget  the "wasted" capacity;   the
> cost of all that dark fiber needed just for them should get added to
> the customer's price quote for the OC3.

Yup. 

> Same deal if instead you need an OC48 at various hops to actually
> carry that OC3 and be able to end-to-end and tunnel the DCC bytes over
> IP  or restrict equipment choices so you can achieve that D1-12 byte
> transparency

I'm a simple man. I just want the bitpipe to do IP over. It so happens
that the combined engineering of the telco business made for a nice
set of signalling bells and whistles that tend to work well on long
point-to-point circuits. If not perfectly well, then at least orders of
magnitude better than a protocol that was designed to sometimes convey
frames over one nautical mile of yellow coax.

Then again, the yellow coax has evolved, significantly. 

-- 
Måns Nilsson primary/secondary/besserwisser/machina
MN-1334-RIPE +46 705 989668
Didn't I buy a 1951 Packard from you last March in Cairo?


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