I think I had the same problem although the VirtualBox port forwarding was 
correctly configured and I could not resolve it in the little time I had.
My late conclusion was that maybe the Windows firewall is blocking the 
connection (even though it's a local one...) ?
Could you try connecting to the Sage notebook after disabling the firewall ?
It's not a proper solution but my give us some hint.

The other solution is to wait for a Sage in VirtualBox on Windows :)

On Wednesday, March 28, 2012 3:06:31 PM UTC+2, Matthias L wrote:
>
> Dear group,
>
> I've tried to install Sage on Windows 7 following the installation guide 
> linked below. It seems to work until step 4, I get the same console window 
> as shown in the screen shot there ("Open your web browser"). But if I do 
> so, I can't connect to Sage and receive a 404 error instead.
>
> Installation guide
> http://wiki.sagemath.org/SageAppliance
>
> Virtual Box 4.1.10, Sage 4.8
>
> Some ideas?
>
> Thank you, Matthias
>
>

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