I like to compare the Sage's Google Groups activity to Mathematica's.
Recently there was a big jump in MMA's, but Sage was kicking butt for
a while there.

On Mar 9, 11:38 am, "William Stein" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> On Sun, Mar 9, 2008 at 8:31 AM, mhampton <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> >  I agree; I'm not sure 10^6 users is a useful goal to have, although I
> >  am not against it.
>
> Again, the goal is not 10^6 users, it is "to be a viable alternative to
> Maple, Mathematica, Matlab, and Magma".  Any free program that
> genuinely attains that goal would *have* to have 10^6 users within
> some reasonable amount of time.   Thus I consider the 10^6 business
> not a goal in itself, but a clear way to measure whether we have achieved
> success or not.
>
> >  One of my hopes/goals for Sage is to make every mathematics researcher
> >  and educator aware of its existence, and for it to be useful to a
> >  large fraction of those folks.   Accomplishing that would result in
> >  roughly 10,000 "users", but many of those users would be deploying it
> >  in classes with many students each semester.  If you count the
> >  students as users, that would give about 10^5 users.
>
> Students would definitely count.
>
> --
> William Stein
> Associate Professor of Mathematics
> University of Washingtonhttp://wstein.org
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