Hi all, Thank you for the feedback.  I realize there are a lot of unknowns.  I am attempting to show regulators and the utility that a cap based upon solely ac ratings of the inverters may be easy to administrate, but it greatly overestimates revenue erosion and any rate design that would capture the revenue needed to meet fixed costs.  I am going to have to aggregate a "unit" that reflects fairly standard and common installations including the information below, and see how the utility and regulators react.  The utility was just taken over by the Town and there is a lot of plant work that needs to be done. They think solar is taking away from that even though the Charter is all about the environment.......   We get into line rebuilding, distributed generation advantages, but we are only about 5MW peak, so they don't have the engineers/economists to easily do these calcs.

Chris

On 8/28/2019 10:26 AM, Dan Lepinski, P.E. wrote:
Hello Chris,

Thank you for the example.  It helped .. but not completely.

See if this is what you have in mind:

         PV -> Inverter ---V
                  ^        V
                  V       ATS  -> Grid
               Battery    Loads

PV = 2 kW STC rating.
Inverter has an internal MPPT charge controller.
Automatic Transfer Switch "ATS" disconnects the system in the event of a 
utility failure.
Battery provides storage in the event of a utility failure.  Chemistry not 
identified.

Presuming the above is correct:

There isn't a clear-cut answer to your question due to the number of 
uncontrolled variables involved.

However, some variables can be generally addressed:

1. Battery chemistry.  Lead-acid?  Li-Ion?
2. Site location (for average temperature, annual insolation, etc.)
3. PV mechanical considerations: Azimuth?  Tilt?  Mounting method?


It appears you're seeking an estimated value for total annual energy 
production.  Subsequently, I'll proceed on that basis:

For very generalized analysis, actual overall PV output is 85-88% of their 
label ratings.  Much of the decrease is due to cells operating above STC 
temperature of 25C.  Haze, pollution, weather, dirt on the PV, and other 
factors are also considerations.  Use 86%.

There are two key aspects to charge controllers in this discussion: 1. How well 
do they track the actual maximum power point?  2. Conversion efficiency?  For 
your purposes, estimate an overall efficiency factor of 95%.

Whether battery efficiency plays into this or not depends on how often the system operates on 
battery power only, depth of discharge, age of the batteries, and battery chemistry .. for openers. 
 If lead-acid, there's another aspect called the "Peukert's Law" (or the "Peukert 
formula") that has to be factored in.  Peukert says the higher the rate you withdraw stored 
energy from a L-A battery, the less you get.  It's akin to saying, the faster you drive, the worse 
your miles per gallon.

Inverter efficiency varies depending on the point of their curve on which it's operating. 
 The "sweet spot" tends to be mid-range.  For a 3.6 kW, and only 2 kW of PV, 
you'll never exceed the inverter's mid-range.  For a typical grid-interactive inverter 
today, use 97%.

Batteries have a round-trip efficiency of approximately 90% for new lead-acid, and 
slightly better than 90% for Li-Ion.  As L-A batteries age, efficiency decreases.  Near 
end of life, L-A batteries are in the 80-85% range.  This also varies with the method of 
charging.  L-A also require periodic conditioning charges (also known as an 
"equalizing" charge).  Li-Ion are better in that respect, losing approximately 
0.5% per year, and don't require conditioning.  However, efficiency in both topologies 
depends on how often the battery is discharged, how deeply it's discharged, and for L-A, 
how long the battery sits in a less than 100% state of charge condition before being 
fully recharged.  Heat also takes its toll on L-A batteries in life and efficiency.  When 
used in repeated discharge/recharge cycles, for L-A, use 88%.  For Li-Ion, use 92%.

Battery float current also varies with chemistry.  L-A batteries consume 
nominally 0.3 to 0.5% of the rated amp-hour value.  Thus for a 48 volt, 300 
amp-hour battery .. the float current would be 1 to 1.5 amps.  This value will 
vary with battery temperature.  It's higher in L-A batteries than Li-Ion.  
Compromise and use 1.25% for L-A, and 1% for Li-Ion.

Wiring loss in a well-designed system is recommended to be 2.5% for best 
practices.  This is inclusive of all BOS hardware, connectors, and so forth.  
Use 2.5%.

Finally, on reading your reply below .. I infer from the information the site gets 4.5 
hours of "good" sunlight per day.

I'm unable to proceed beyond this point due to lack of information related to 
the PV azimuth, tilt, mounting method, and other variables.  Hopefully you can 
plug those in .. and with the information above .. derive a better estimate of 
annual AC energy from the system.


Regards,


Dan

P.S.  You may not get admonished by Michael W for inadvertently including my identifying 
information in your re-post to the Wrenches.  I'm not an installer, and no longer with 
any manufacturer.  For that reason, Mr. Welch has deemed me "unqualified" to 
post to the Wrench BBS, and persona non grata where the the BBS is concerned.  One of 
your colleagues on the board posted one of my comments a year or so back .. and was 
contacted by Michael for doing so.  Michael told him if he ever posted information to the 
BBS that originated from me, he too would be blocked from making any future posts.

You're welcome to post anything I send to you.  I would ask for your own sake, and 
continued participation on the Wrench board, that in re-posting information .. you omit 
anything that would identify me as the source.  I have a somewhat unique style of 
writing, so it's also suggested you change the ".." and other characteristics 
to resemble what you'd type.  Plagiarize away.  I'm OK with it.




Dan Lepinski, P.E.
Professional Solar Consultant & Electrical Design Engineer
Serving the Solar Industry Since 1972
817.884.6081 (cell)


* 2010 State of Texas Renewable Energy Industries Association Honoree
   and Award Recipient for Meritorious Achievement in Renewable Energy.
* 2016 Memnosyne Institute Sustainable Leadership Award * 2017 United States Department of Energy National BCAP Project - 2017 & Ongoing...
   (One of only two engineers selected nationwide for the program.)

* 2019 State of Texas Energy Advisory Council Member


Professional Profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dan-lepinski-p-e-5339bb22/

"Scientists investigate that which already is; engineers create that which has never 
been."
~ Albert Einstein

Unless indicated otherwise, all information contained in this message is 
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On 8/28/19 8:31 AM, Christopher Warfel wrote:
Hi Dan, Sorry for the confusion.

Maybe an example would help.  Take a 2000 w dc multimode system that is
coupled with a 3600 w ac rated multimode inverter.  What percentage of
the dc capacity is inverted into ac capacity.  So, roughly 2000 x .9
(wiring and similar losses from array to battery) x .95 for an assumed
5% usage to charge/float the batteries x .98 for dc to ac inverter
efficiency makes me think that 2000 x .9 x .95 x .98 * (4.5 x 365)
yields = 2,752 kWh annually. The utility is assuming roughly 3600 x .98
x (4.5 x 365) {if they are assuming anything at all} = 5,368 kWh revenue
lost. The regulatory assumption overestimates the capacity factor by @49%.

I'll post to the WRENCHES too to help clarify hopefully.   Chris

On 8/28/2019 9:10 AM, Dan Lepinski, P.E. wrote:
OFF-LINE REPLY

Hello Chris,

The wording of your question is confusing.  You ask about the percentage of DC 
capacity vs AC power output, then add batteries into the mix.

What system topology is the focus of your query?

I'll be glad to do what I can to assist.  Just need clear direction on the 
configuration.


Regards,


Dan

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