On Jun 7, 12:51 pm, pb <pbridge...@aol.com> wrote:
> Absolutely fascinating set of comments on that web page!  I was very
> interested by the reticence of Specialized -- I thought their response that
> dealers wouldn't want to stock three wheel sizes was reasonable and
> pragmatic, if a bit conservative ...  but those folks are very smart.

I agree that Specialized is very smart, but I think a different
dynamic is at work: Specialized and Trek are the big leaders in 29"
mountain bikes. They jumped on that boat early and now reap the
rewards. 650B (sorry, I refuse to call it 27.5") is an attempt by
those who missed the 29er boat to usurp that movement.

Of course, Specialized hopes 650B is just a passing fad, and they can
go back to selling their 29ers. Specialized is in a catch-22: Jump
onto the 650B bandwagon, and they legitimate the whole movement. Sit
it out, and they risk missing the boat. Currently, they are hedging
their bets. (At first, they said "No way, it's stupid," now they are
beginning to sound more open.) I would not be surprised if they had
two lineups in preparation for 2014 – one without 650B and one with
650B. At the last moment, they would decide what to do based on how
things are playing out.

The technical merits may be there, but that rarely is what drives the
industry.

Oh, and I couldn't help but laugh when I read that 650B wheels were
used on "French cruiser and city bikes." I guess the wonderful
randonneur bikes of the 1950s look like "cruiser bikes" to modern
mountain bike journalists!

Jan Heine
Editor
Bicycle Quarterly
http://www.bikequarterly.com

Follow our blog at http://janheine.wordpress.com/

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