I'm afraid your methodology is in error.  There will be upwards of 6,000
people at the Seagull, and all but a few hundred at most will be on
carbon fiber racing bikes.  Even when it rains (which in my experience
is something like 80-90% of the time) only a few dozen at most will have
fenders.  

On Wed, 2011-10-12 at 21:01 -0700, cyclotourist wrote:
> Perhaps even a majority if I'm counting correctly!
> 
> On Wed, Oct 12, 2011 at 3:03 PM, James Warren
> <jimcwar...@earthlink.net> wrote:
>         
>         Cool, and in California on the same day, we'll be doing a ride
>         in San Clemente that will probably have a few Rivendells.
>         
>         
>         
>         -----Original Message-----
>         >From: Steve Palincsar <palin...@his.com>
>         >Sent: Oct 12, 2011 1:54 PM
>         >To: rbw-owners-bunch@googlegroups.com
>         >Subject: Re: [RBW] Seagull century, Salisbury, MD
>         >
>         >On Wed, 2011-10-12 at 13:44 -0700, KenP wrote:
>         >> It's Saturday.  Usually see some Rivendells.
>         >
>         >And you'll see me, on a black Randonneuse, either the Velo
>         Orange or the
>         >MAP, haven't decided which yet.  I'll be on the new route.
>         >
>         >
>         >
>         >--
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> 
> 
> -- 
> Cheers,
> David
> Redlands, CA
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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