I wanted to second Jacob Berv's suggestions about Bayes Factors for testing 
apriori hypotheses about tree topology. Here are two papers that show worked 
out examples of this approach, and discuss some of the checks you need to do 
before proceeding. For example, you want to be sure the character evolution 
model seems a pretty good fit before testing the topologies. Those types of 
concerns are mostly statistical, and so most would apply to genetic data 
equally as to the morphological characters these papers analyzed.  

Matthews LJ, Tehrani JJ, Jordan FM, Collard M, Nunn CL. 2011. Testing for 
divergent transmission histories among cultural characters: a study using 
Bayesian phylogenetic methods and Iranian tribal textile data. PLoS One. 
29;6(4):e14810. 

Dembo, M, NJ Matzke, AO Mooers, M Collard. 2015. Bayesian analysis of 
morphological supermatrix sheds light on controversial fossil hominin 
relationships. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. Volume 282

My best - Luke Matthews, Behavioral and Social Scientist, RAND Corporation


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Today's Topics:

   1. Fwd: Testing different topological hypotheses - based     on
      taxonomic treatments (Chris Buddenhagen)
   2. Re: Testing different topological hypotheses - based      on
      taxonomic treatments (Jacob Berv)


----------------------------------------------------------------------

Message: 1
Date: Tue, 19 Apr 2016 07:06:45 -0400
From: Chris Buddenhagen <cbuddenha...@gmail.com>
To: r-sig-phylo@r-project.org
Subject: [R-sig-phylo] Fwd: Testing different topological hypotheses -
        based   on taxonomic treatments
Message-ID:
        <cad8oqpt+v-j77dqfsoorev6ko0gby6lfkgfgadaf60m1zjk...@mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"

Dear all

What is the best (statistically defensible) way to test different hypotheses 
regarding topology? I have data from hundreds of loci....concatenated alignment 
is approximately 200 kilobases.

For example one taxonomist divided the tribe of plants I am working on into two 
main groups (presumably sister to each other). Also one genus is apparently 
embedded in the other, and was treated as separate. Another division in the 
taxonomic treatment identifies major groups above sections.

Sincerely


Chris Buddenhagen
cbuddenha...@gmail.com

        [[alternative HTML version deleted]]



------------------------------

Message: 2
Date: Wed, 20 Apr 2016 01:54:58 -0400
From: Jacob Berv <jakeberv.r.sig.ph...@gmail.com>
To: Chris Buddenhagen <cbuddenha...@gmail.com>
Cc: r-sig-phylo@r-project.org
Subject: Re: [R-sig-phylo] Testing different topological hypotheses -
        based   on taxonomic treatments
Message-ID: <0f738896-8bd6-42c3-b086-6a5f11811...@gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=utf-8

You could do a bayes factor test using MrBayes or BEAST, by applying 
topological constraints. This is an elegant solution for conducting explicit 
topological hypothesis tests. But you aren?t likely to get BEAST or MrBayes to 
run with 200kb. I?ve been thinking about doing this myself with data partitions 
generated from partition finder (For example). 

I think I once tried loading 500kb into MrBayes and it gave me some kind of 
warning that it can?t read alignments longer than ~90kb. Talk about a 21st 
century problem.

Jake

> On Apr 19, 2016, at 7:06 AM, Chris Buddenhagen <cbuddenha...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> Dear all
> 
> What is the best (statistically defensible) way to test different 
> hypotheses regarding topology? I have data from hundreds of 
> loci....concatenated alignment is approximately 200 kilobases.
> 
> For example one taxonomist divided the tribe of plants I am working on 
> into two main groups (presumably sister to each other). Also one genus 
> is apparently embedded in the other, and was treated as separate. 
> Another division in the taxonomic treatment identifies major groups above 
> sections.
> 
> Sincerely
> 
> 
> Chris Buddenhagen
> cbuddenha...@gmail.com
> 
>       [[alternative HTML version deleted]]
> 
> _______________________________________________
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