I have a rather basic set of data.  It is simply a variable that can be 0, 1 or 
2 and its value over a series of time t0 - t9 like so:

y:      1       1       2       0       1       2       2       1       2       
1
x:      t0      t1      t2      t3      t4      t5      t6      t7      t8      
t9

I need to predict what the value of y will be at t10 through t13.

As you can see its rather basic.  I am rather new to solving these types of 
problems so I am looking for some
good straight forward things to try.

My research into this (google, wiki's, etc) leads me to believe that perhaps 
logistic regression would be good, since
I am predicting a categorical variable (0, 1, 2).  

I don't have much data for the formula to "learn" from, as I only have 10 time 
slots and I need to predict the next 4.

Is logistic regression a good candidate or should I be looking at perhaps 
something else?


Brian

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