Hi Dan,
I've tried the log likelihood, but it reaches zero again, if I work with say
1000 samples.
I need an approach that would scale to quite large sample sizes. Surely I
can't be the first one to encounter this problem, and I'm sure I'm missing
an option that is embarrassingly obvious.

Regards
Seref

On Mon, Oct 17, 2011 at 6:15 PM, Nordlund, Dan (DSHS/RDA) <
nord...@dshs.wa.gov> wrote:

> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: r-help-boun...@r-project.org [mailto:r-help-bounces@r-
> > project.org] On Behalf Of Seref Arikan
> > Sent: Monday, October 17, 2011 9:11 AM
> > To: r-help@r-project.org
> > Subject: [R] Best practices for handling very small numbers?
> >
> > Greetings
> > I have been experimenting with sampling from posterior distributions
> > using
> > R. Assume that I have the following observations from a normal
> > distribution,
> > with an unscaled joint likelihood function:
> >
> > normsamples = rnorm(1000,8,3)
> >
> > joint_likelihood = function(observations, mean, sigma){
> >     return((sigma ^ (-1 * length(observations))) * exp(-0.5 * sum(
> > ((observations - mean ) ^ 2)) / (sigma ^ 2) ));
> > }
> >
> > the joint likelihood omits the constant (1/(2Pi)^n), which is what I
> > want,
> > because I've been experimenting with some crude sampling methods. The
> > problem is, with the samples above, the joint likelihood becomes 0 very
> > quickly.
> > I wanted to experiment with tens of thousands of observations, but
> > without
> > an implementation of a transformation that can handle very small
> > values, my
> > sampling algorithms would not work.
> >
> > This is an attempt to use some sampling algorithms for Bayesian
> > parameter
> > estimation. I do not want to resort to conjugacy, since I am developing
> > this
> > to handle non conjugate scenarios, I just wanted to test it on a
> > conjugate
> > scenario, but I've quickly realized that I'm in trouble due to
> > likelihood
> > reaching 0 quickly.
> >
> > Your feedback would be appreciated. It makes me wonder how JAGS/BUGS
> > handles
> > this problem
> >
> > Best regards
> > Seref
> >
>
> Maybe you should work with the log-likelihood?
>
>
> Hope this is helpful,
>
> Dan
>
> Daniel J. Nordlund
> Washington State Department of Social and Health Services
> Planning, Performance, and Accountability
> Research and Data Analysis Division
> Olympia, WA 98504-5204
>
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